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The latest estimates of the Slovenian economy's growth by both the domestic central bank and the International Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development are known. The Bank of Slovenia estimates that after last year's low economic growth, the recovery is being slowed down this year by increased geopolitical uncertainty and increased inflationary pressures. The Slovenian economy will grow by 1.9% this year, with inflation rising to 3.6%.
The Bank of Slovenia's Governor Primož Dolenc, presenting the latest forecasts, stressed that the economic outlook was marked by the worsening situation in the Middle East.
The Slovenian central bank forecasts gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 1.9% this year. With the stabilization of energy markets and the calm of international conditions, it is expected to strengthen to 2.2% in 2027 and 2028. Inflation is expected to decline to 2.3% next year and approach the European Central Bank's target level of around 2% in 2028.
Governor of the Bank of Slovenia Dr Primož Dolenc
© Bor Slana/STA and the European Commission
Domestic demand remains the main engine of growth
Arjana Brezigar, director of the Bank of Slovenia's Research and Analysis Centre, said that Slovenia's economy will grow faster this year than the euro area economy, where only 0.8% growth is expected. e reason for this difference is that Slovenian growth is mainly driven by domestic demand, both public and private consumption, which is mainly contributed by a strong labour market and wage growth.
However, she said there was still considerable uncertainty due to conflicts in the Middle East and the ongoing changes in international trade relations, and that some of the revenue could be diverted to savings this year, which, together with weaker exports and reticent investments, was dampening economic momentum.
More investment and exports in coming years
The Bank of Slovenia also estimates that the situation will begin to calm down towards the end of the year, with the contribution of net exports expected to be positive again next year and a strengthening of investments expected in 2028.
In the next two years, wage growth is expected to decline to just over 4% a year, Brezigar said, noting that wages are still growing faster than productivity, which increases labour costs and reduces the competitiveness of the economy.
Warnings on the state of public finances
The Bank of Slovenia again points to the deterioration of the public financial position of the country.The budget deficit is expected to approach 3% of GDP this year and to increase next year.Among the main reasons cited are higher expenditure on employees due to the increase in the minimum wage and wage reform, as well as the costs of energy measures and the introduction of a long-term supply system.
OECD: The economy is resilient, but more action is needed
The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) also presented its report on Slovenia, which estimates that the Slovenian economy has proved very resilient despite a number of external shocks, but that additional measures will be needed for long-term growth.
The OECD recommends that Slovenia further strengthen public finances, reduce the burden on labour, and tax consumption and real estate more heavily.Recommendations also include more investment, the development of the capital market and the wider use of artificial intelligence in the economy.
Chairman of the Fiscal Council Davorin Kračun
© Tamino Petelinšek/STA (Spanish language)
Fiscal Council points to sustainability of measures
The Fiscal Council , chaired by Davorin Kračun , held talks with Prime Minister Janez Janša and Finance Minister Andrej Širklj on Monday on the state of the country 's public finances .
The Fiscal Council points out that only about one tenth of the measures contained in the Coalition Agreement can be evaluated financially, and that most of the measures evaluated have a predominantly negative impact on public finances.
The government ensures that the importance of fiscal sustainability is recognised.As the Government Communication Office points out, the coalition agreement therefore states that all measures that increase expenditure and reduce revenue must be designed in such a way as not to jeopardise this sustainability.
John the Baptist
© Bor Slana/STA and the European Commission
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Read the full article at Radio Ognjišče →📄Source document: Banka Slovenije
8 reports
24ur (POP TV)IndependentCenter5 days agoThe Bank of Slovenia has lowered its economic growth forecast for this year from 2.2% to 1.9%, and for next year by 0.2 percentage points, with inflation expected at 3.6%. The new data calls for responsible state leadership. Both political parties appear to acknowledge the need for responsibility but remain on their respective sides. The Left has rejected participation in Janez Janša's Partnership for a Successful Slovenia, stating they have thoroughly examined the document. The Movement Freedom decided to avoid the spotlight of the partnership and instead form a shadow government. They claim,
Bias read (Center): The article presents both political sides' positions without overtly favoring one over the other. It includes quotes from representatives of different parties and does not use biased language or selectively omit perspectives.
VečerIndependent🔒Center5 days agoThe National Bank of Slovenia has stated that economic growth this year will be lower than expected, while inflation will be higher. The article asks by how much these changes will occur.
Bias read (Center): The article presents a factual statement from an official source without apparent framing or slant. It does not include commentary, opinion, or biased language. The focus is on economic indicators reported by the National Bank of Slovenia, which is a neutral institution.
Official sources cited
- government Banka Slovenije
Radio OgnjiščeIndependentCenter5 days agoBanka Slovenije has lowered its forecast for Slovenia's economic growth this year to 1.9%, citing increased geopolitical uncertainty and stronger inflationary pressures. The bank expects inflation to rise to 3.6% this year but predicts it will decrease to 2.3% next year and approach the European Central Bank's target of around 2% by 2028. Governor Primož Dolenc highlighted the impact of tense situations in the Middle East on global economic conditions.
Bias read (Center): The article presents economic forecasts from Banka Slovenije without overtly favoring any political perspective. It includes direct quotes from the bank's governor and provides numerical data without apparent bias or loaded language. The content focuses on economic indicators and does not take a立场on
Official sources cited
- government Banka Slovenije
DomovinaIndependentCenter5 days agoBanka Slovenije has revised its economic projections downward for Slovenia's growth and upward for inflation. The central bank now forecasts a 1.9% GDP growth for 2026, down from previous estimates, with a slight increase to 2.2% in the following two years. Inflation is expected to reach 3.6%, significantly higher than the previously predicted 2.3%. The central bank governor highlighted ongoing uncertainties due to geopolitical risks, energy markets, and global trade conditions.
Bias read (Center): The article presents updated economic forecasts from an official source without overtly favoring any political perspective. It reports factual changes in projections and includes quotes from the central bank governor, maintaining neutrality in tone and content.
Official sources cited
- government Banka Slovenije
Maribor24IndependentCenter5 days agoThe Central Bank of Slovenia has issued a warning regarding economic growth and inflation trends. According to the latest forecasts, economic growth this year is expected to reach 1.9%, with an increase to 2.2% in 2027 and 2028. Inflation is projected to average 3.6% this year but is expected to gradually decline in the following years due to decreasing energy prices and domestic cost pressures. The forecast is accompanied by heightened risks related to situations in the Middle East, domestic structural challenges, and public finances. Despite a positive start to the year, uncertainties linked
Bias read (Center): The article presents economic forecasts and warnings from the Central Bank of Slovenia without overtly favoring any political side. It focuses on data-driven projections and mentions risks such as those in the Middle East and domestic structural issues, which are presented neutrally. There is no明显的偏
Official sources cited
- government Banka Slovenije Economic Forecasts
DeloIndependent🔒Center5 days agoThe Bank of Slovenia has revised its economic forecasts for this year, predicting a 1.9% growth rate and 3.6% inflation, primarily influenced by the conflict in the Middle East. The conflict has reduced economic growth while increasing prices. The bank expects growth to rise to 2.2% in the next two years, with inflation decreasing to 2.3% next year and reaching the European Central Bank's target of 2% in the following year.
Bias read (Center): The article presents economic forecasts from the Bank of Slovenia without overtly favoring any political perspective. It reports facts based on official statements and does not include subjective commentary or biased language.
Svet24IndependentCenter5 days agoThe National Bank of Slovenia has reported that economic growth is declining, while inflation is decreasing only slowly.
Bias read (Center): The article presents factual economic data without overtly biased language or selective sourcing. It reports on the National Bank of Slovenia's assessment of economic growth and inflation trends without apparent ideological framing.
Official sources cited
- government Banka Slovenije
Žurnal24IndependentCenter5 days agoThe Bank of Slovenia has lowered its forecast for economic growth in Slovenia this year from 2.2% to 1.9%. The central bank also revised its projections for future years, predicting a 2.2% increase in GDP for both 2027 and 2028. Inflation is expected to reach 3.6% this year, higher than previous estimates. The governor of the Bank of Slovenia attributed the slower growth to increased geopolitical uncertainty and stronger inflationary pressures.
Bias read (Center): The article presents factual updates from the Bank of Slovenia without overtly favoring any political stance. It reports on economic forecasts and inflation rates with no apparent ideological framing or selective emphasis. The content remains neutral in tone and does not include subjective language.
Official sources cited
- government Bank of Slovenia Economic Forecast Update
Slovenia