Map Shows Donald Trump’s Approval Rating in Every State on His Birthday

As President Donald Trump celebrates his 80th birthday today , new polling shows a state-by-state map that still follows familiar partisan lines—but with weaker margins than at the start of his second term.

The figures come from Civiqs’ rolling online tracking poll of registered voters, taken from a rolling sample of 110,353 registered voters from January 20, 2025, through June 11, 2026.

Newsweek compared state results from January 20, 2025, Trump’s first day back in office, with the latest figures available as of June 11, 2026. Net approval is calculated by subtracting disapproval from approval.

Key Points

Trump is underwater in most states as he reaches his birthday, with a net approval negative across much of the battleground map

Kentucky has seen the sharpest decline since the start of his second term, followed by Montana and Idaho

Several states that began his term in positive territory, including Florida, Ohio and Texas, are now net negative

Deep-red states still form Trump’s strongest base, but many of those margins have narrowed sharply since January 2025

Younger voters, independents and women remain among the groups most negative on Trump in the latest national Civiqs tracker

Nationally, Trump’s approval stands at 36 percent, with 59 percent disapproving. That leaves him clearly underwater overall, and the state map shows the same pattern: strongest in Republican strongholds, deeply negative in blue states, and under pressure across much of the battleground map.

What’s Driving the Numbers

The national demographic breakdown helps explain why the state map looks the way it does.

Trump’s weakest numbers come among younger voters. Among adults aged 18 to 34, just 21 percent approve while 72 percent disapprove. Among those aged 35 to 49, approval is 29 percent, and disapproval is 64 percent.

Independents are also strongly negative, with 28 percent approving and 64 percent disapproving. Women disapprove by a 65-to-30 margin, while men are more divided at 52-to-42.

Education is another clear fault line. Among postgraduates, Trump’s approval is 25 percent, and disapproval is 71 percent. Among non-college graduates, the gap is narrower at 39 approve to 55 disapprove.

Those splits help explain why Trump’s standing remains so much stronger in parts of the Republican heartland than in more highly educated, urban and competitive states.

Deep Red States Still Back Trump—But by Less

Trump’s strongest ratings still come from heavily Republican states, but many of those early advantages have narrowed.

Wyoming remains his best state, with a net approval rating of +25. North Dakota follows at +15, then South Dakota at +14 and West Virginia at +13. Alabama and Idaho each stand at +11, while Oklahoma is at +10.

That still leaves Trump above water across much of the red-state interior. But compared with the start of his second term, the erosion is striking. In January 2025, Wyoming opened at +47. Idaho began at +34. West Virginia was at +35. Those states are still positive now, but by much slimmer margins.

Kentucky offers an especially sharp example. Trump started his second term with a net approval rating of +23 there. It now stands at -4, wiping out its earlier advantage.

Swing States Have Moved Further Against Him

The most politically significant movement is in the states that tend to decide national elections.

Florida now sits at -13 net approval, down from +9 on January 20, 2025. Ohio has dropped from +8 to -14. Nevada has fallen from an even 0 to -20. North Carolina has gone from 0 to -15. Pennsylvania has moved from -3 to -17.

Arizona now stands at -13, Wisconsin at -16 and Michigan at -21. Georgia sits at -20.

Those are not landslide deficits, but they point in the same direction: Trump is underwater across much of the battleground map, and in several cases, states that were once positive or even are now clearly negative.

The States Where Trump Has Fallen Most

Every state in this tracker shows a lower net approval rating than on the day Trump began his second term. The biggest declines are concentrated not just in Democratic states, but in places that initially gave him some of his strongest backing.

The sharpest drops are:

Kentucky : +23 to -4, down 27 points

Montana : +25 to +1, down 24 points

Idaho : +34 to +11, down 23 points

Florida : +9 to -13, down 22 points

Ohio : +8 to -14, down 22 points

West Virginia : +35 to +13, down 22 points

Wyoming : +47 to +25, down 22 points

Kansas : +23 to +2, down 21 points

Nebraska : +18 to -3, down 21 points

Oklahoma : +31 to +10, down 21 points

Texas : +6 to -15, down 21 points

Arkansas : +26 to +6, down 20 points

Nevada : 0 to -20, down 20 points

Tennessee : +25 to +5, down 20 points

That list says a lot about where the map has changed most. The biggest losses are not concentrated in safe blue states, where Trump was already unpopular. They are often coming from red or red-leaning states where his early support was much stronger.

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Deep Blue States Remain Firmly Oppos…