20 horas después de que arrancara el recuento en Perú, el candidato progresista, Roberto Sánchez, ha tomado la delantera, por la mínima en la segunda vuelta de las presidenciales en Perú frente a la derechista Keiko Fujimori. Con el 94% de voto escrutado, el candidato de Juntos por el Perú supera a la de Fuerza Popular –50,04% frente a 49,95%– y acaricia una ajustada victoria que augura un largo proceso de impugnaciones por parte de Fujimori. Eso sí, también están pendientes mesas del exterior que suelen ser más conservadoras.
De esta manera, Sánchez está haciendo buenos los dos llamados conteos rápidos de las encuestadoras publicados este domingo a las nueve de la noche, que le concedían la victoria con una ventaja muy estrecha. Así, el candidato de Juntos por el Perú estaría dando la vuelta a las encuestas a pie de urna, que habían puesto en cabeza a la candidata de las derechas y ex primera dama Keiko Fujimori .
De acuerdo con el recuento rápido de Ipsos, Sánchez ganaría con el 50,3% de los votos frente al 49,7% de Fujimori –con un margen de error del 1,9%–. Asimismo, el recuento rápido de actas oficiales de la encuestadora Datum, también con un margen de error del 1,9%, sitúa a Sánchez con un 50,14% y a Fujimori con un 49,86%.
¿Y a qué se debe este cambio cuando apenas quedan seis puntos por contar? “Los votos provenientes de zonas rurales y del sur del país suelen ser contabilizados y transmitidos más tarde. Dado que estas regiones han mostrado un respaldo mayoritario a Sánchez, la diferencia entre los candidatos podría variar significativamente a medida que se incorporen más votos al conteo oficial”, explica Francesca Emanuele, Asociada Senior de Política Internacional del Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR) y jefa de la misión de observación electoral del think tank estadounidense en Perú.
Desde el balcón del partido Obras, una de las formaciones de la coalición que le apoya, Sánchez afirmó este domingo por la noche ante sus seguidores: “Este es el día de la recuperación de la democracia. Queremos poner delante de ustedes la serenidad, el respeto democrático, el sentido del voto del pueblo peruano”.
Sánchez, que ha prometido el indulto al encarcelado expresidente Pedro Castillo (2021-2022), ha señalado: “Hay una ventaja importante que reafirma la voluntad del pueblo que quiere justicia”.
Fujimori, por su parte, ha dicho: “Nos encontramos en un empate técnico, hasta el momento no hay ningún ganador en esta contienda, por tal razón, serán días largos hasta conocerlo. Sería irresponsable definir el resultado en base a una muestra como es el conteo rápido que utiliza aproximadamente 1.000 actas de 90.000 que se tiene a nivel nacional. Quiero decir al pueblo peruano que no pierda la esperanza, necesitamos calma y serenidad y vamos a esperar con mucha fe el resultado final”.
Las declaraciones de Fujimori anuncian unas largas semanas de impugnaciones y una proclamación oficial dentro de un mes cuando esté contado el 100% de los votos. El escenario reproduciría lo ocurrido en 2021 entre Fujimori y Castillo, pero también lo ocurrido en la primera vuelta para impedir que Sánchez la pasara.
“Los problemas logísticos que marcaron la primera vuelta, sumados a las acusaciones infundadas de fraude y a las posteriores impugnaciones de actas, retrasaron durante más de un mes la confirmación oficial del candidato que obtuvo el segundo lugar, generando condiciones desiguales para la competencia entre los dos aspirantes que disputan la segunda vuelta”, explica la analista de CEPR Francesca Emanuele: “Es fundamental que Perú evite una repetición de lo ocurrido tras las elecciones de 2021, cuando las acusaciones infundadas de fraude de la entonces candidata presidencial Keiko Fujimori provocaron una demora sin precedentes en la certificación de los resultados y en el reconocimiento oficial de la victoria de Pedro Castillo”.
Dadas sus declaraciones en campaña, es previsible que Fujimori alegue fraude si resulta derrotada, como ocurrió en las elecciones de 2021, cuando solicitó la anulación de alrededor de 200.000 votos después de que su rival, Pedro Castillo, ganara en la segunda vuelta con una estrecha ventaja. La victoria de Castillo fue posteriormente ratificada y asumió la presidencia al mes siguiente.
“Los días posteriores a la votación del domingo serán tan importantes como la propia jornada electoral”, afirma Emanuele. “Las instituciones democráticas del Perú estarán bajo escrutinio y la comunidad internacional observará atentamente lo que ocurra”.
Fujimori es hija del exdictador Alberto Fujimori, quien fue condenado a 25 años de cárcel por crímenes de lesa humanidad, incluidas masacres, desapariciones forzadas y secuestros en 2009.
Entre 1994 y 2000, Keiko Fujimori ejerció como una de las principales representantes públicas del gobierno autoritario de su padre, y se ha postulado sin éxito a la presidencia peruana en tres ocasiones anteriores.
Fujimori se impuso en la primera vuelta con u…
Read the full article at elDiario.es →📄Source document: Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE)→10 reports
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Bias read (Center): The article presents the election results factually without overtly favoring either candidate. It highlights the narrow margin and the potential for uncertainty but does not use biased language or selectively present information to support one side over the other.
Official sources cited
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