Le PAC des agriculteurs derrière les attaques électorales contre le GOP

With days remaining until the midterm elections, President Donald Trump has intensified efforts to secure Republican victories by linking specific government benefits directly to electoral outcomes. In a series of public statements, the president offered financial incentives and regulatory changes contingent on his party retaining control of Congress. These moves have drawn scrutiny regarding the use of executive power and the fiscal feasibility of the proposed rewards. Trump initially pledged a universal cash payment in September. He stated that if Republicans won both the House of Representatives and the United States Senate, he would issue a $5,000 dividend to every adult citizen. Vice President J.D. Vance suggested the funds would derive from tariff revenues. However, data from the Penn Wharton Budget Model indicates the U.S. collected just under $300 billion in tariff revenue between January 2025 and July 2026. This figure excludes refunds required after the Supreme Court ruled certain tariffs illegal. At current rates, accumulating enough revenue to fund the dividend would take years. Critics noted that tariffs are ultimately borne by American consumers, creating a cycle where taxpayers effectively finance their own disbursements. Beyond the cash promise, Trump tied infrastructure and energy projects to specific Senate races. In Ohio, the president addressed a request from three local Republicans, including Representative Mike Turner and Senators Bernie Moreno and Jon Husted, to locate a planned Space Force training academy in the state. Trump told a campaign audience that while other states wanted the facility, Ohio would be strongly considered if the GOP won the midterms. In Kentucky, the Department of Defense, referred to by Trump as the Department of War, announced a conditional $80 billion loan to pharmaceutical manufacturer Antheia on October 17. On the same day, Trump pledged an additional $100 million investment in Antheia to revitalize a manufacturing facility in Winchester. He directed this offer toward Representative Andy Barr, the Republican candidate for the open Senate seat, stating that Barr had to win or the funding would not proceed. Energy policy became another lever in Kansas and Iowa. Trump promoted E15, a gasoline blend containing up to 15 percent corn-derived ethanol. While E15 is generally restricted during summer months due to smog concerns, the government waived this ban in March following fuel price spikes linked to the war in Iran. The House passed a bill in May to make the waiver permanent, a measure Trump supported in June. The Senate version of the Farm Bill includes a similar amendment, but Democrats have blocked its passage. Speaking to voters in Kansas, Trump declared that Senator-elect Roger Marshall would make year-round E15 permanent, whereas Democratic challenger Adam Hamilton would prevent it. He repeated this pledge in Iowa, tying the policy to Representative Ashley Hinson, the Republican Senate nominee. These transactional appeals coincide with growing economic anxiety among agricultural communities. The American Meat Producers Association’s political action committee has spent approximately $2.9 million on advertisements targeting Republican candidates in Iowa, Colorado, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The ads highlight how administration policies, including tariffs and the Iran conflict, have raised living costs. Holly Bice, the group’s president, stated that the campaigns point to voting records that harm farmers. She emphasized that rural constituents view policy impacts holistically rather than through individual legislative bills. The donor base for these ads remains opaque. The group described its supporters as farmers, meat companies, and individuals interested in family farming, without providing further specifics. The organization has also funded ads for two Republican candidates who align with its stance on animal welfare legislation. This spending reflects a broader trend of linking the Iran war to domestic economic struggles. An analysis by the Associated Press found that Iran-related television ads aired more than 43,000 times in competitive congressional races between September 1 and October 14. The estimated cost was $42 million. Of the 65 unique ads identified, 61 focused on household cost-of-living issues, such as rising fuel prices. Farmers face heightened pressure from soaring fuel and fertilizer costs. Consequently, midterm races in swing states with large agricultural sectors appear tighter than anticipated. Some traditionally red states with significant farming populations have shifted toward toss-up status. Last month, the Iowa Farmers Union endorsed all five Democratic federal candidates, marking the first such endorsement in decades. The union criticized Trump’s delayed fuel relief program, arguing that immediate action is needed rather than measures implemented after votes are counted. They urged the president to end the war without compromising farmer profits. Meanwhile, the Iowa Farm Bureau’s political arm continued to support Republican candidates, though it broke a 16-year streak by declining to endorse the GOP gubernatorial nominee. Polling data from Reuters and Ipsos indicates that Trump’s approval rating among rural Americans has dropped from 61 percent in October of the previous year to 45 percent earlier this month.