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BACrimeOverlooked from the right10 days ago

The risk of extreme flooding greatly increased by rising sea levels, human factor is the main cause

A study published in Nature Climate Change indicates that extreme sea level events, which historically had a 1% chance of occurring in any given year, are now approximately 12 times more likely. The research attributes this increase primarily to human-induced climate change. Scientists analyzed long-term tide gauge data from over 100 locations and compared it with climate models from 1900 to 2005. They note that their findings are conservative due to limitations in model availability, and the human contribution to coastal extremes has increased further since then. Natural factors played a more

Studija objavljena u časopisu Nature Climate Change navodi da su ekstremni nivoi mora, oni koji su historijski imali vjerovatnoću od jedan posto da se dogode u određenoj godini, sada u prosjeku blizu 12 puta vjerovatniji. Istraživanje pokazuje da su takvi događaji četiri puta vjerovatniji upravo zbog klimatskih promjena koje uzrokuje ljudski faktor.

Naučnici su analizirali dugoročne podatke s mjerača plime na više od 100 lokacija i uporedili ih s klimatskim modelima za period od 1900. do 2005. godine. Autori navode da su rezultati konzervativni jer je istraživanje ograničeno dostupnošću modela, a ljudski doprinos promjenama obalnih ekstrema od tada je dodatno rastao.

Prema istraživačima, prirodni faktori su imali veću ulogu ranije u 20. stoljeću, ali je od 1960-ih glavni uzrok rasta nivoa mora zagrijavanje izazvano ljudskim djelovanjem. Posebno su važni staklenički plinovi nastali sagorijevanjem fosilnih goriva poput nafte, plina i uglja.

Druga studija, objavljena istog dana u časopisu Science Advances, došla je do sličnog zaključka. Utvrdila je da su klimatske promjene bile uzrok 58 posto dana s ekstremnim nivoima vode u periodu od 2000. do 2018. godine te da su od 1970-ih gotovo utrostručile broj dana koji prelaze pragove ekstremnih nivoa vode.

"U suštini, svaki obalni poplavni događaj danas nosi ljudski trag kroz klimatske promjene", rekao je Ben Strauss iz organizacije Climate Central.

Vodeći autor druge studije Sönke Dangendorf upozorio je da se rizik mijenja i da se društva tome moraju prilagoditi, dok stručnjaci ističu da planeri obalne zaštite moraju računati na veće troškove i slabiju dugoročnu otpornost postojećih sistema.

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Source document: Study published in Nature Climate Change

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Klix.baIndependentLeft10 days ago
The risk of extreme flooding greatly increased by rising sea levels, human factor is the main cause

A study published in Nature Climate Change indicates that extreme sea level events, which historically had a 1% chance of occurring in any given year, are now approximately 12 times more likely. The research attributes this increase primarily to human-induced climate change. Scientists analyzed long-term tide gauge data from over 100 locations and compared it with climate models from 1900 to 2005. They note that their findings are conservative due to limitations in model availability, and the human contribution to coastal extremes has increased further since then. Natural factors played a more

Bias read (Left): The article emphasizes the role of human activity in climate change and extreme sea level rise, using terms like 'human factor' and highlighting the impact of greenhouse gases from fossil fuels. It cites scientific studies linking climate change to increased flooding risks, without presenting counte

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  • study Study published in Nature Climate Change
  • study Study published in Science Advances

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  • studyStudy published in Nature Climate Change
  • studyStudy published in Science Advances