Selon la dernière estimation, la croissance du PIB a été de 1,5% l'an dernier, et l'inflation s'est accélérée à 3% en août.
En 2025, le PIB de la Slovénie a augmenté de 1,5% par rapport à l'année précédente, selon l'Office statistique de la République de Slovénie (Surs), qui a révisé son estimation à la hausse de 0,4 points de pourcentage par rapport à l'évaluation initiale de février. Cette croissance a été plus lente que les 2,6% enregistrés en 2023 et les 2% en 2024. L'augmentation du PIB a été principalement tirée par les activités d'information et de communication, les services financiers et d'assurance et la construction, chacune contribuant de 0,3 points de pourcentage. D'autres secteurs tels que les soins de santé, le travail social, l'immobilier et les activités professionnelles, scientifiques et techniques ont également contribué positivement. Cependant, les industries de transformation ont eu un impact négatif sur la croissance de 0,3 points de pourcentage, suivies par l'électricité, le gaz, la vapeur et l'approvisionnement en eau, ainsi que la réparation et le commerce des véhicules automobiles, chacun réduisant la croissance de 0,1 points de pourcentage. La consommation finale des ménages a augmenté de 2,4%, tandis que la consommation finale des administrations a augmenté de 3,2%.
The coming week will see three key developments shaping Slovenia’s autumn, according to reports. While the National Assembly will not hold a regular session, parliamentary committees will meet, signaling which topics will dominate the country's agenda during the fall. Particular attention will be given to finance and economic policy. Meanwhile, significant activity will take place beyond Slovenia’s borders, with informal ministerial meetings within the European Union focusing on defense, foreign policy, and European coordination, issues of particular relevance to Slovenia due to concerns over defense spending. In the economy, a paradox emerges: while Slovenia’s GDP grew by five percent in the second quarter of the year, recent data suggest a more cautious outlook among businesses. One of the central stories of the upcoming weeks will be whether this growth continues throughout the year, compounded by inflation remaining near three percent. The implications for households, companies, and the government in the months ahead remain under scrutiny. According to the Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia (SURS), the country’s real GDP increased by 1.5 percent in 2025, marking an improvement from earlier estimates. This figure represents a rise of 0.4 percentage points compared to the initial assessment released in February. The nominal GDP, measured in current prices, rose by 5.5 percent compared to the previous year. The increase was driven primarily by information and communication activities, financial and insurance services, and construction, each contributing 0.3 percentage points to the overall growth. Additional contributions came from healthcare and social work (with social work making the largest contribution despite having a third lower added value than healthcare), real estate operations, and professional, scientific, and technical activities, each adding 0.2 percentage points. However, certain sectors had a negative impact on economic growth. Processing industries contributed a decline of 0.3 percentage points. Other areas affected included electricity, gas, steam, and air conditioning supply, water supply, waste management, and trade, maintenance, and repair of motor vehicles, each contributing a decrease of 0.1 percentage points. Household final consumption expenditure grew by 2.4 percent in real terms, fueled by spending on all categories of goods, particularly durable goods (rising 5.8 percent), semi-durable goods (3.1 percent), non-durable goods (2.7 percent), and services (2.1 percent). Government final consumption expenditure increased by 3.2 percent, with individual services rising 3.4 percent and collective services 2.7 percent. Gross capital formation in fixed assets rose by 5.3 percent, with construction growing by 6.2 percent, equipment and machinery by 5.2 percent, and intellectual property products by 3.8 percent. Inventory changes accounted for 0.9 percent of GDP, representing an increase of 0.4 percentage points compared to 2024, largely due to higher levels of unfinished production and trade goods stock. The balance of trade remained positive, amounting to 3.874 billion euros in current prices. However, imports of goods and services rose more sharply than exports. Export values increased by 0.2 percent in real terms, while import values climbed by 2.8 percent. Trade conditions improved slightly, with export prices rising by 1.4 percent compared to 0.1 percent for imports. The share of wages in GDP increased by 0.6 percentage points to 52 percent. The share of production taxes decreased by 0.2 percentage points to 12.8 percent of GDP, while subsidies increased by 0.1 percentage points to 1.5 percent of GDP. The share of gross capital consumption fell by 0.2 percentage points to 18 percent of GDP, and the share of net operating surplus and other income declined by 0.1 percentage points to 18.7 percent of GDP. Employment figures showed a slight decline, with total employment decreasing by approximately one thousand persons, or 0.1 percent. Average annual employment was estimated at 1.102 million people, with 79.5 percent being employees and 20.5 percent self-employed. The biggest reductions in employment were recorded in processing industries, which saw around 4,000 fewer jobs, or a 0.4 percentage point reduction. The largest positive contribution came from healthcare and social work, which added around 2,000 more jobs, or 0.2 percentage points. The economic landscape reflects both progress and challenges, with continued efforts needed to sustain growth amid inflationary pressures and shifting global dynamics.
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