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WorldMedicine6 days ago

The Middle East’s New Normal

The article discusses the potential aftermath of the Iran war, suggesting that the most likely outcome is an unsatisfying ceasefire that does not resolve underlying issues. It predicts an uneasy equilibrium where Gulf countries pursue their own interests, U.S. influence declines, and the regional order remains unstable. Economic concerns such as oil and gas price stabilization, Saudi Arabia's economic initiatives, and the resumption of normal business activities by governments and investors are also highlighted.

en English

Politics

Jun 15, 2026

Don Aviv

The most likely outcome of the Iran war is not peace but an unsatisfying ceasefire that leaves the underlying issues unresolved. This will mean an uneasy equilibrium in which Gulf countries go their own way, US influence wanes, and the regional order remains unsettled.

NEW YORK—In recent weeks, the world’s attention has centered on how the Iran war will end, whether the United States and the Islamic Republic can reach a ceasefire agreement, and how Israel will respond. Equally pressing are the economic consequences: when oil and gas prices will stabilize, whether Saudi Arabia’s economic projects can get back on track, and when governments and investors across the region can return to business as usual.

Read the full article at Project Syndicate →

1 reports

Project SyndicateIndependentCenter6 days ago
The Middle East’s New Normal

The article discusses the potential aftermath of the Iran war, suggesting that the most likely outcome is an unsatisfying ceasefire that does not resolve underlying issues. It predicts an uneasy equilibrium where Gulf countries pursue their own interests, U.S. influence declines, and the regional order remains unstable. Economic concerns such as oil and gas price stabilization, Saudi Arabia's economic initiatives, and the resumption of normal business activities by governments and investors are also highlighted.

Bias read (Center): The article presents a balanced view of the situation without overtly favoring any particular side. It outlines possible outcomes and considerations without using biased language or selectively citing sources.