Attaccare, non difendersi: il solido consenso sulla sicurezza di Israele sostituisce la "stabilità" passiva - parere

As Israel enters its 100-day election campaign, the focus of the upcoming contest appears to center around domestic responsibilities tied to the October 7, 2023, attack by Hamas and the government’s handling of wartime policies toward the ultra-Orthodox (haredi) population. However, the broader consensus among Israeli leaders and citizens seems to revolve around a shift in national security strategy, moving away from passive containment toward active aggression. Over the past three years, a series of devastating attacks from multiple fronts, Gaza, the West Bank, Syria, and Lebanon, have reshaped Israeli military doctrine. These incidents have underscored the perceived failure of previous policies that emphasized restraint and diplomacy, allowing adversaries to build up their capabilities under the guise of stability. The current administration and its political rivals alike appear aligned on the necessity of maintaining a proactive stance, emphasizing strategic superiority over enemy forces rather than merely reacting to threats. This new approach involves targeted military operations aimed at dismantling enemy strongholds across regions such as Sidon, Khan Yunis, Nablus, and even Isfahan. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have increasingly taken the initiative in these conflicts, shifting from a defensive posture to one of preemptive strikes and sustained pressure on hostile groups. The concept of a buffer zone, where the IDF maintains long-term control over border territories occupied by Islamist-jihadist organizations, has gained traction as part of this strategy. Public sentiment supports this aggressive stance, reflected in recent legislative actions within the Knesset. In February 2024, a majority of 99 out of 120 Knesset members rejected unilateral recognition of Palestinian statehood by European and other nations. This decision was supported by nearly all non-Arab representatives, highlighting a unified front against any moves that might weaken Israel’s position. Further reinforcing this stance, a July 2024 resolution passed by a 68-9 margin explicitly opposed the establishment of a Palestinian state west of the Jordan River, citing existential risks to Israel. Political figures currently vying for leadership, including Gadi Eisenkot, Naftali Bennett, Benny Gantz, and Yair Lapid, have shown little divergence from the prevailing security consensus. Their platforms suggest that regardless of who assumes the role of prime minister, the nation’s approach to dealing with Iran and its proxies, including elements of the Palestinian national movement, will remain consistent. International pressures on these matters are expected to be met with similar resistance, mirroring the current administration’s firm stance. The Israeli electorate appears to demand unwavering strength in these security matters, evidenced by the overwhelming support for policies that prioritize military action over diplomatic concessions. This sentiment extends beyond immediate tactical considerations, influencing the perception of future peace negotiations. While additional agreements akin to the Abraham Accords are viewed as potentially beneficial, they are envisioned as being grounded in robust defense partnerships rather than vague gestures of goodwill. The absence of significant debate among leading candidates regarding alternative approaches to national security suggests a deepening alignment on core principles. Opposition voices have largely refrained from proposing divergent strategies, indicating a shared understanding of the challenges posed by regional adversaries and the necessity of a unified response. Recent developments indicate that the Israeli public’s appetite for decisive action continues to shape both domestic politics and foreign relations. As the election cycle progresses, the emphasis on maintaining a proactive defense posture is likely to remain central to the discourse, influencing not only the selection of leadership but also the trajectory of Israel’s geopolitical engagements in the region.