Le vice-ministre de l'économie d'Alberto Fernández estime que Caputo n'est pas assuré que la paix changerait à partir de 2027

A former vice minister of economy under President Alberto Fernández has expressed doubts over whether the current financial strategy proposed by Economy Minister Luis Caputo will ensure stability ahead of the 2027 elections. Fernando Morra, who previously held the position of secretary of Economic Policy during the administration of Minister Martín Guzmán, raised concerns about the viability of the plan designed to manage foreign exchange pressures and debt obligations. Speaking on Radio Perfil, Morra warned that “it is not guaranteed that we will have a year of complete calm in terms of currency,” suggesting that the market does not fully trust the government’s financial roadmap. Morra, a graduate and master's degree holder in economics from the National University of La Plata, and currently a doctoral candidate at the same institution, emphasized that while the overall economic indicators show some recovery, this growth is not translating into broader improvements in employment or living standards. He noted that sectors driving the economy, industry, construction, and commerce, are still struggling to recover from the downturn experienced in 2024. This has created a situation where the economy appears to be operating on two distinct tracks, with limited benefits reaching the general population. The discussion centered around the challenges facing Argentina’s economy as it approaches the upcoming election cycle. Morra highlighted that the country’s ability to withstand the financial pressures associated with its debt commitments would be crucial in determining the stability of the coming years. He pointed out that international organizations are projecting economic growth rates of approximately 3.7% to 4%, but these figures depend heavily on specific scenarios and conditions that remain uncertain. In recent weeks, Finance Minister Caputo and Central Bank Governor Miguel Ángel Pesce have engaged in significant negotiations with international banks to refinance debts owed by the central bank and the treasury. These agreements have allowed the government to borrow funds at an interest rate of 8%, which Morra described as relatively high compared to other countries in the region. Countries such as Colombia, Brazil, and Peru, which have better access to global markets, typically face lower borrowing costs, highlighting Argentina’s continued status as a high-risk borrower. Morra argued that despite these efforts, the market remains skeptical about the sustainability of the government’s financial program, particularly regarding the availability of foreign currency needed to meet future obligations. With the 2027 elections approaching, he suggested that the success or failure of the current economic policies could significantly influence public perception and political outcomes. The conversation also touched on the broader implications of Argentina’s economic trajectory. While there are signs of improvement in key economic indicators, the lack of job creation and the persistent challenges in the labor market raise questions about the long-term impact of these developments on the average Argentine citizen. The disparity between macroeconomic performance and individual well-being remains a critical concern for policymakers and analysts alike. As the government continues to navigate complex financial landscapes, the effectiveness of its strategies will be closely watched both domestically and internationally. The ability to maintain economic stability while addressing pressing social issues will likely shape the political landscape leading up to the next major elections.