Andrés Repetto, analyste international, sur le conflit au Moyen-Orient: La situation vient de se compliquer

The conflict in the Middle East has escalated into a new phase of uncertainty following recent U.S. attacks on Iran, according to international analyst Andrés Repetto. In an interview with La Nación, Repetto warned that the situation has become more complex due to Iran’s claim that the United States targeted its energy infrastructure. The escalation comes after data released by the U.S. Central Command suggested a military strategy aimed at projecting control, though the ground realities indicate a deepening crisis. Repetto emphasized that the U.S. military's actions have been designed to convey images of dominance, yet the real-world effects suggest otherwise. He noted that the attack was part of a broader plan to strike all energy facilities in the Persian Gulf, which could further destabilize the region. This move coincides with heightened tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20% of global oil passes. According to Repetto, the Iranian response has included warnings that the country will conserve energy due to the impact on its power grid. Iran has threatened to close another key passage near the Strait of Hormuz, which handles 12% of international trade. Repetto explained that this follows the U.S. bombing campaign, which has already disrupted Iran’s energy infrastructure. He pointed out that the Iranian response could involve direct strikes against refineries or power plants in the Persian Gulf. Furthermore, he warned that the involvement of regional allies might turn the conflict into a larger regional war, noting that the latest U.S. attack under President Donald Trump marks a turning point. Repetto described Trump’s role in the conflict as being entangled in a web of complications. He argued that the president faces both tactical and political challenges, as his administration struggles to manage the fallout from the escalating hostilities. Repetto highlighted that Trump has historically opposed long-term wars, such as those in Iraq and Afghanistan, but the current dynamics are pushing him toward an unpredictable path. He added that Trump has failed to achieve strategic objectives, including compelling Iran to back down or open the Strait of Hormuz. According to Repetto, the situation is becoming increasingly complicated. He stated that the Iranian response, as communicated to its leadership, suggests that the U.S. attack has had a tangible effect on their energy systems. He concluded that the conflict is likely to worsen in the coming hours, as the potential for further escalation grows. The analyst stressed that the outcome of these developments will depend on how quickly and effectively the parties involved can navigate the growing tensions.