El triunfo del sentido común

Slovenia faces a new political confrontation following the results of four simultaneous referendums held on October 9–10, which saw narrow victories for the opposition on two issues, parliamentary inquiry and mandatory payment of RTV contributions, while the ruling coalition secured clear wins on voter rights for foreigners and compulsory community service by healthy recipients of social benefits. The high voter turnout of 64.6 percent marked the highest since the 2003 referendum on NATO and EU membership. These results have intensified existing political divisions and set the stage for further debate around a proposed constitutional law on intervention measures aimed at boosting Slovenia’s economy. The National Assembly confirmed on Thursday that a referendum on the intervention law will take place on December 6. The proposal, approved by the Finance Committee, specifies that preparations for the referendum will begin on October 30. The question to be put to voters will ask whether they support the implementation of the law on intervention measures for Slovenia’s development, passed by the National Assembly on May 11, 2026. The initiative was submitted by trade unions with more than 40,000 verified signatures, meeting legal requirements for a binding referendum. The law includes measures such as reducing VAT on basic food items and certain energy products, tax treatment of some standardized goods, introducing a cap on social contributions, lower taxation of certain rents, and new solutions in healthcare, pensions, and long-term care. It was prepared before the formation of the new government by MPs from New Slovenia, Democrats and Truth, Focus, and the Civic Alliance, with support from the SDS and the current government. Trade unions oppose the law and filed a petition for a referendum, supported by over 47,000 signatures. However, the National Assembly initially rejected the petition due to provisions related to the nature of taxes, which the Constitutional Court later annulled. Unions then collected more than 40,000 verified signatures for the referendum request, backed by the opposition. The National Assembly will also consider the resignation of MP Boris Mijič from the Civic Alliance. He owes tens of thousands of euros to his company and the state and misled about his education. Opposition parties had called for his resignation since early summer, but the Civic Alliance waited until October 10, after six months had passed since the establishment session of the current National Assembly. Had he resigned earlier, the transfer of his mandate to the next best candidate would not have been automatic, potentially leading to a loss of one parliamentary seat and necessitating supplementary elections. Analyses of the referendum results suggest that Slovenia is politically divided roughly in half, though identity-related issues transcend left-right divides. While the left-right split largely determined voting patterns on economic matters, the referendums on foreigner voting rights and compulsory community work showed broader support beyond traditional ideological lines. The analysis indicates that the country leans slightly conservative on identity questions, with parts of the older electorate aligning with right-wing parties despite their historical leftist leanings. Political dynamics remain approximately evenly balanced, with a slight advantage for the left. The referendum on mandatory RTV contributions gained particular attention, as many voters interpreted it as a vote on RTV Slovenia itself. Public opinion surveys previously indicated that journalists at RTV Slovenia enjoy strong trust among left-leaning voters, while the informative programming of the television station has drawn criticism. The debate over the intervention law continues to intensify, with the ruling coalition arguing that the law does not take anything away but gives to all citizens, while the opposition claims it favors the wealthy and lacks transparency regarding its financial implications. Both sides have pledged significant engagement in the upcoming referendum campaign. The government maintains that the law promotes economic growth and provides benefits to all, including reduced costs for energy and housing for young people. The opposition warns that the law could lead to significant financial burdens on the public, citing concerns over how the government plans to fund the proposed measures.