Los aranceles de Trump frenan la economía estadounidense y podrían ser historia pronto

The U.S. economy has faced measurable slowdowns since President Donald Trump imposed sweeping tariffs under his trade policies, according to recent reports. After nearly 18 months of fluctuating trade measures, some overturned by the Supreme Court, others renegotiated, the economic impact remains mixed. While the trade deficit declined slightly in June, the reduction was minimal, and both imports and exports saw declines, leading to job losses in certain sectors. The administration’s initial promises of increased industrial output, job creation, and investment inflows have not materialized as anticipated. Trump's administration recorded substantial revenue from these tariffs, with the federal government collecting $163 billion by mid-June. However, this figure comes with complications. The Supreme Court ruled portions of the tariffs unconstitutional, requiring the U.S. to compensate foreign companies affected by the measures. To date, over $70 billion has been allocated for such compensation, which some analysts argue offsets much of the financial gain. In a new development, 25 Democratic states have joined forces to challenge Trump’s latest round of tariffs. Effective July 24, the tariffs range from 10% to 12.5% on goods from countries deemed insufficiently committed to combating forced labor. This includes the European Union and China, which together account for 99.4% of all U.S. imports. The states argue the tariffs are arbitrary, unpredictable, and legally unsound, accusing the White House of using forced labor as a pretext to maintain its controversial tariff system. The White House has responded firmly, asserting that it is merely exercising its legal authority under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974. This provision, previously used against China, allows the executive branch to impose tariffs based on national security concerns. Despite past attempts to challenge similar measures in court, which failed, experts now suggest the language of Section 301 is more suited for targeting specific trading partners rather than applying broad, country-wide tariffs. Legal analysts point out that the Department of Commerce did not gather sufficient evidence to justify the new tariffs. There is skepticism regarding whether the targeted nations actually violated U.S. labor standards in ways that warranted punitive action. These doubts could influence the outcome of ongoing legal challenges, which are expected to take months or even years to resolve. Earlier this year, smaller business groups had already filed lawsuits against the tariffs, but these cases were not immediately successful. Legal experts predict that the current wave of litigation will prolong uncertainty for businesses and investors. Meanwhile, despite the legal hurdles, the Trump administration is likely to continue introducing additional trade barriers, driven by ideological commitments to protectionism, even amid potential economic consequences. As the legal battles unfold, the broader implications for U.S. trade policy remain unclear. With multiple layers of judicial review pending, the future of these tariffs, and their impact on global commerce, remains uncertain. For now, the focus remains on the evolving legal landscape and how it might shape the trajectory of American trade relations in the coming months.