Trump empuja a la intervención siria contra Hezbolá miope

Washington, D.C., U.S. President Donald Trump suggested during a meeting with Lebanese President Joseph Aoun at the White House on Tuesday that Syria might intervene in Lebanon to address the issue of Hezbollah. This remark followed months of diplomatic efforts aimed at pressuring Syria's new leadership, led by President Ahmed al-Sharaa, to take steps against the Iran-backed militant group. The suggestion, made amid ongoing discussions over regional stability, drew immediate criticism from U.S. officials. On Wednesday, Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated that while Syrian authorities are not aligned with Hezbollah, the administration had urged Syria to prioritize its internal challenges rather than engage in external conflicts. The remarks underscored a shift in U.S. strategy toward encouraging Syria to focus on national reconciliation rather than direct confrontation with Lebanon's powerful armed faction. Hezbollah, once a key ally of Syria’s late leader Bashar al-Assad, played a pivotal role in supporting Assad’s regime during the civil war. However, following Assad’s ousting in 2024 through forces led by al-Sharaa, relations between Syria and Hezbollah have become more complex. Analysts warn that a potential Syrian military involvement in Lebanon could destabilize the region further. Political and security researcher Bassel Doueik noted that a military intervention by Syria to disarm Hezbollah would likely be counterproductive. It could strain Syria’s emerging ties with Lebanon and reinforce Hezbollah’s narrative of resisting foreign influence. According to Doueik, such an action might galvanize anti-Hezbollah sentiment within Lebanon, potentially leading to broader unrest. Historically, Syria’s presence in Lebanon dates back to the 1970s, when Hafez al-Assad deployed troops during the Lebanese Civil War. The Syrian occupation lasted nearly three decades, ending in 2005 after mass demonstrations. Despite this, lingering resentment persists among some Syrians who view Hezbollah’s support for Assad as a betrayal of national interests. Analysts caution that a renewed Syrian military engagement in Lebanon could reignite old grievances and deepen divisions. Senior analyst Nanar Hawach of the International Crisis Group warned that such a move would reopen wounds in Lebanon’s political history, stirring resistance even among those opposed to Hezbollah. Furthermore, it could challenge Syria’s claims of distancing itself from past interventions and risk entangling the country in another regional conflict. Security expert Samy Akil emphasized that a Syrian military entry into Lebanon would pose significant risks, particularly given the ongoing threat posed by remnants of the former regime and ISIS-linked groups. Akil pointed out that while Trump’s suggestion gained attention, the broader U.S. defense establishment views the plan as a dangerous miscalculation. He noted that any Syrian involvement would likely occur only within the framework of a larger regional accord, highlighting the complexity of such a scenario. As the situation unfolds, the implications of Trump’s remarks continue to ripple through diplomatic circles. With the Lebanese army recently taking steps to assert its authority, the possibility of further developments remains uncertain. The coming weeks will be critical in determining whether the proposed intervention gains traction or remains a speculative notion.