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Very strong El Niño forecast for southern Africa this summer
ZA🌿 Environment4 hr. ago

Very strong El Niño forecast for southern Africa this summer

A very strong El Niño is predicted to affect southern Africa during the upcoming austral summer, peaking between October 2026 and January 2027. This El Niño has developed earlier than usual, according to the ENSO Reference Group, which includes experts from South African research institutions. The group noted that the exact impacts remain uncertain due to the unique nature of each El Niño event. Scientists highlighted that the early warming in the Niño 3.4 region and record-high sea surface temperatures indicate an unusual El Niño. The group plans to provide further updates at a summit scheduled for 10 September 2026, where they will discuss the potential effects of this event.

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Mail & Guardian logoMail & GuardianIndependentCenter4 hr. ago
Very strong El Niño forecast for southern Africa this summer

A very strong El Niño is predicted to affect southern Africa during the upcoming austral summer, peaking between October 2026 and January 2027. This El Niño has developed earlier than usual, according to the ENSO Reference Group, which includes experts from South African research institutions. The group noted that the exact impacts remain uncertain due to the unique nature of each El Niño event. Scientists highlighted that the early warming in the Niño 3.4 region and record-high sea surface temperatures indicate an unusual El Niño. The group plans to provide further updates at a summit scheduled for 10 September 2026, where they will discuss the potential effects of this event.

Bias read (Center): The article provides a neutral overview of the scientific predictions regarding the El Niño phenomenon, emphasizing the uncertainties and the need for further monitoring. There is no evident political framing or bias in the content.

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