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Mapped: Just 11 of 632 constituencies would vote to stay out of the EU in second referendum
United Kingdom🏛️ PoliticsCenter13 days ago

Mapped: Just 11 of 632 constituencies would vote to stay out of the EU in second referendum

New polling by the think tank More in Common suggests that only 11 of the 632 constituencies across England, Scotland, and Wales would vote to remain in the EU in a hypothetical second referendum, compared to over 400 that voted to leave in 2016. The findings indicate a significant shift in public opinion, with nearly half of Britons (48%) saying they would vote to 'rejoin' the EU if given another chance, while 28% would vote to leave, 12% would not vote, and 12% are unsure. The 11 constituencies identified are primarily located in post-industrial or coastal areas of England. Among those who originally voted to leave the EU in 2016, 18% now say they would support rejoining. The survey also highlights that 40% of Britons believe Brexit has worsened their daily lives, while fewer than 10% feel it has improved them.

The recent polling data released by the think tank More in Common highlights a significant shift in public opinion regarding the United Kingdom’s relationship with the European Union. According to the findings, if a second referendum were to occur, only 11 out of 632 constituencies in England, Scotland, and Wales would vote to remain outside the EU. These 11 constituencies are all located in England, indicating a stark geographical concentration of anti-EU sentiment. Notably, even in the most Eurosceptic seat—South Basildon and East Thurrock—only 48% of voters would choose to remain outside the EU, suggesting a growing preference for rejoining the bloc. Conversely, in Glasgow Northeast, which is considered the most pro-rejoin constituency, 87% of respondents indicated a desire to rejoin the EU. This data underscores a dramatic reversal in public sentiment, particularly among younger generations, who are increasingly critical of Brexit.

The survey further reveals that nearly half of Britons—48%—would vote to rejoin the EU in a second referendum, while 28% would opt to remain outside. A quarter of respondents (12%) stated they would not vote, and another 12% remained undecided. This indicates a substantial portion of the population is open to reconsidering the UK’s position within the EU. Additionally, the poll found that almost a fifth (18%) of those who voted Leave in 2016 now support rejoining the EU, highlighting a notable realignment in political preferences. Furthermore, 40% of Britons believe that leaving the EU has negatively impacted their daily lives, whereas fewer than 10% claim it has improved their circumstances.

Among the younger demographic, specifically Generation Z, the sentiment is even more pronounced. A separate poll conducted by More in Common found that 60% of individuals aged 18 to 28 would vote to rejoin the EU if given the chance, with only 9% supporting continued exclusion. When focusing on those likely to participate in a hypothetical referendum, the pro-EU stance dominates with 81% of the vote, contrasting sharply with the 19% favoring remaining outside. This suggests that the younger generation views Brexit as a failure and is eager for a new vote to reassess the UK’s membership status. Many Gen Z participants described Brexit as a pivotal moment in their political awakening, often citing it as the first major political issue they became aware of during their formative years.

The implications of these findings extend beyond mere statistical trends. They reflect a broader societal shift in attitudes towards the EU and the impact of Brexit on everyday life. The data also highlights the generational divide, with older voters—who largely supported leaving the EU—being replaced by a younger electorate that is more aligned with EU values. This demographic transition has led to a reevaluation of the initial Brexit decision, with many questioning whether the outcome was due to the policy itself or the manner in which it was implemented.

As the political landscape continues to evolve, the potential for a second referendum looms larger. However, the path forward is complex, involving negotiations with the EU and addressing the concerns of both supporters and opponents of Brexit. The upcoming EU-UK summit, originally scheduled for July 22, has been postponed as Sir Keir Starmer prepares to step down, raising questions about the future direction of the UK’s relationship with the EU under a new leadership. The evolving discourse around Brexit and the possibility of rejoining the EU signals a dynamic and ongoing political narrative that will shape the UK’s future engagement with Europe.

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3 reports

The Independent logoThe IndependentIndependentCenterFactual 95Objective 9013 days ago
Mapped: Just 11 of 632 constituencies would vote to stay out of the EU in second referendum

New polling by the think tank More in Common suggests that only 11 of the 632 constituencies across England, Scotland, and Wales would vote to remain in the EU in a hypothetical second referendum, compared to over 400 that voted to leave in 2016. The findings indicate a significant shift in public opinion, with nearly half of Britons (48%) saying they would vote to 'rejoin' the EU if given another chance, while 28% would vote to leave, 12% would not vote, and 12% are unsure. The 11 constituencies identified are primarily located in post-industrial or coastal areas of England. Among those who originally voted to leave the EU in 2016, 18% now say they would support rejoining. The survey also highlights that 40% of Britons believe Brexit has worsened their daily lives, while fewer than 10% feel it has improved them.

Bias read (Center): The article presents polling data and quotes from both the think tank and political figures without overtly favoring any side. It includes balanced perspectives, such as the shift in public opinion and the potential implications for future UK-EU relations, without using biased language or selective,

Why these scores (Factual 95 · Objective 90): Factuality is excellent with clear polling data and direct quotes from More in Common. Objectivity remains high as it presents findings without evident bias, though there's subtle advocacy for rejoining the EU.

The Guardian (World) logoThe Guardian (World)IndependentCenterFactual 95Objective 8513 days ago
Three in five gen Z Britons would like new vote to rejoin EU, poll finds

New polling indicates that 60% of Gen Z Britons (ages 18–28), who were too young to participate in the 2016 EU referendum, now favor a new vote to rejoin the European Union, with 81% supporting rejoining in a hypothetical second referendum. The survey, conducted by the thinktank More in Common, found that 50% of this group views Brexit as a failure, while only 16% consider it a success. Younger respondents (aged 18–21) showed stronger opposition to Brexit than older Gen Zers (25–28). Many express skepticism about returning to prolonged political debates over Brexit, preferring to focus on issues such as the cost of living, housing, employment, and climate change. The findings highlight generational divides and frustrations with the ongoing impact of Brexit.

Bias read (Center): The article presents polling data and quotes from both the thinktank and participants, offering balanced perspectives on differing opinions within Gen Z regarding Brexit. It does not exhibit overt bias, framing the issue objectively through survey results and participant insights without emphasizing

Why these scores (Factual 95 · Objective 85): Factuality is strong with detailed polling results and expert commentary. Objectivity is slightly lower due to emphasis on Gen Z dissatisfaction and calls for a new referendum, which may subtly favor rejoining the EU.

The Independent logoThe IndependentIndependentCenterFactual 85Objective 8014 days ago
Brexit live: The referendum night that changed Britain – as it happened 10 years ago

The article recounts the events of the 2016 UK EU referendum in real-time, replaying the night of June 23rd as if it were current news. It highlights key moments such as the initial optimism for a Remain victory, the surprise narrow Remain win in Newcastle, and the subsequent sharp decline in the value of the British pound following Leave victories in areas like Sunderland. The piece also notes the eventual confirmation of a majority Leave vote (52%) and the broader implications of the decision. The article is part of The Independent's campaign to explore ways to rebuild Britain's relationship with Europe.

Bias read (Center): The article provides a chronological account of the referendum night without overtly favoring either side. It includes both Leave and Remain outcomes, quotes from various sources, and presents the events objectively, avoiding loaded language or one-sided emphasis.

Why these scores (Factual 85 · Objective 80): Factuality is high as it accurately recreates the 2016 Brexit referendum night with historical details. Objectivity is slightly lower due to promotional language about rebuilding Britain's relationship with Europe and the framing as a 'breaking news' event.

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