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Regional elections in the east: out of shock
Germany🏛️ PoliticsCenter

Regional elections in the east: out of shock

The rise of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) in eastern Germany appears unstoppable, particularly in states like Saxony-Anhalt and Mecklenburg-West Pomerania, where the party is expected to dominate upcoming state elections. The AfD has already become the strongest political force in all eastern federal states after the 2025 federal election. Current polls suggest the party could achieve a majority in Saxony-Anhalt, potentially forming the first AfD-led government in a German state. This development has sparked concern over democratic stability, especially as traditional parties like the CDU and BSW have begun adopting some of the AfD’s policies in an attempt to counter its influence. Meanwhile, public outrage and protests against rising right-wing extremism have diminished, with large demonstrations against far-right rallies becoming rare. The situation highlights growing challenges to democracy in parts of eastern Germany.

A landtag election in the German state of Saxony-Anhalt takes place on Sunday, marking a potential historic shift in the country’s political landscape. Polls indicate that the Alternative for Germany (AfD) leads with support exceeding 40 percent, positioning the party to potentially secure an absolute parliamentary majority. This would make the AfD the first right-wing extremist party, as classified by domestic intelligence agencies, to govern a federal state in post-reunification Germany. The lead candidate for the party, Ulrich Siegmund, stated during a recent conference that he expects to win the election and intends to terminate the media state treaty as his first official act if elected. The political atmosphere surrounding the vote has shifted significantly since 2017, when the AfD first achieved double-digit results in federal elections. While earlier gains were met with shock, current trends suggest a normalization of the party’s strength in eastern Germany. At the 2025 federal election, the AfD became the strongest force in all eastern federal states. Current surveys show the party maintaining this dominance in Saxony-Anhalt, where it polled at 24 percent in 2016. The upcoming vote is viewed by analysts as indicative of a broader nationwide trend rather than an isolated regional phenomenon. Ulrich Siegmund addressed delegates at the federal congress of the AfD youth organization, Generation Deutschland, held in Magdeburg. He described himself as a normal person and praised the party’s local leadership for using clear language. Siegmund outlined two possible scenarios for the election outcome. In the first scenario, the AfD narrowly misses victory, leading to a coalition of parties from the Christian Democratic Union to the Left Party, which he referred to as a blood sausage coalition that would fail to hold together. In the second scenario, the AfD wins with 45 percent of the vote, allowing them to write history. He expressed confidence in the latter outcome, citing long queues of supporters seeking photographs with him during the campaign. Despite his confidence, Siegmund stated that the party would accept democratic results even if they fell just short of an absolute majority. However, he urged citizens to monitor the counting process. He recommended that voters visit their polling stations at 6:00 p.m. to observe the tallying to ensure legal certainty and prevent irregularities. He acknowledged past instances of minor electoral errors but denied making general accusations against officials, describing most municipal workers as performing well. He noted that only a few black sheep might exist in the system. The political environment in Saxony-Anhalt reflects broader economic and social changes. The state, home to approximately 2.1 million people, includes the chemical industry triangle around Leuna and Bitterfeld, which employs around 10,000 people. The southern regions are undergoing structural transformation due to the phase-out of lignite coal mining, resulting in unemployment rates slightly above the national average. The state capital, Magdeburg, and the city of Halle are the only urban areas with populations exceeding 200,000. Extremism researcher Matthias Quent, who serves as a professor at the Ernst-Abbe-Hochschule Jena, analyzed the factors driving the AfD’s success. He noted that the party’s slogan, everything is possible, resonates with voters by promising political self-efficacy to those who feel marginalized, while simultaneously instilling fear in others. Quent argued that viewing the situation solely through the lens of eastern Germany underestimates the problem, as the AfD has reached record highs nationally in recent months. He highlighted that dissatisfaction with the federal government is high, and the BSW party binds little protest potential, leaving the AfD with perceived problem-solving competence. The state office for the protection of the constitution has classified the AfD as confirmed right-wing extremist for years. Intelligence assessments indicate no significant separation between extremist and moderate factions within the party structure. Despite this classification, the party has become socially embedded and present at the municipal level. Quent observed that for many voters, the AfD does not appear extreme; instead, they perceive mainstream politics as the extremist threat. The moral taboo against voting for such parties appears to be losing effectiveness. Other political actors are reacting to the rising tide. The CDU and BSW have begun dismantling barriers to cooperation, signaling openness to coalitions or implementing policies previously associated with the AfD in an attempt to preempt them. Large-scale demonstrations against right-wing extremism, similar to those seen in May 2024, have largely failed to materialize. Protests against right-wing rallies remain small in scale. Author Jana Hensel, in her new book, described the era of democracy in eastern Germany as coming to an end, noting that the decline is radical compared to other regions. She emphasized that while right-wing radicalization is not exclusively an eastern or German phenomenon, its impact here is distinct. The AfD’s electoral program for Saxony-Anhalt contains 43 points focused on migration control, including specific mechanisms for deportations and the abolition of asylum rights. In neighboring Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, where another state election is scheduled, similar trends are evident. The political discourse has shifted from shock to a form of paralysis, with record levels of right-wing violence failing to generate prolonged public debate. In rural parts of eastern Germany, parties outside the AfD play virtually no role in the campaign. The focus now turns to the ballot boxes, where the outcome will determine whether the AfD forms a government or enters a fragile coalition, fundamentally altering the political map of the state.

How this report was made. Objective News wrote this report from 5 source articles, using AI-assisted synthesis under our methodology. It is our own text, not a copy of any single outlet. Read our methodology.

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5 reports

Bild logoBildIndependentConservativeFactual 85Objective 80
Paul Ronzheimer on the upcoming elections in Saxony-Anhalt: This was my AfD surprise

The article features an interview with Paul Ronzheimer, a member of the Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) party, discussing his surprise strategy ahead of the upcoming state election in Saxony-Anhalt. Ronzheimer highlights specific tactics or announcements he believes will catch opponents off guard. The piece focuses on political maneuvering within the AfD and its implications for the election campaign.

Bias read (Conservative): The article centers on a prominent figure from the AfD, a far-right political party in Germany known for its nationalist and anti-immigration stance. The framing emphasizes strategic surprises and political positioning typical of right-wing discourse. There is no balanced presentation of opposing or

Why factuality (85): The article discusses the upcoming election in Saxony-Anhalt and quotes Paul Ronzheimer regarding his surprise at the AfD's performance. However, it does not address the primary source document about migration policy debates in the German parliament. The content is unrelated to the SPD, CDU, Greens,

Why objectivity (80): The article presents Ronzheimer's views neutrally but focuses on the AfD's political rise rather than presenting multiple perspectives. It avoids overt bias but centers on the AfD narrative.

taz – die tageszeitung logotaz – die tageszeitungIndependentProgressiveFactual 60Objective 75
Regional elections in the east: out of shock

The rise of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) in eastern Germany appears unstoppable, particularly in states like Saxony-Anhalt and Mecklenburg-West Pomerania, where the party is expected to dominate upcoming state elections. The AfD has already become the strongest political force in all eastern federal states after the 2025 federal election. Current polls suggest the party could achieve a majority in Saxony-Anhalt, potentially forming the first AfD-led government in a German state. This development has sparked concern over democratic stability, especially as traditional parties like the CDU and BSW have begun adopting some of the AfD’s policies in an attempt to counter its influence. Meanwhile, public outrage and protests against rising right-wing extremism have diminished, with large demonstrations against far-right rallies becoming rare. The situation highlights growing challenges to democracy in parts of eastern Germany.

Bias read (Progressive): The article uses alarmist language such as 'first AfD-led government,' 'threat to democracy,' and references concerns about democratic erosion. It emphasizes the potential collapse of democratic norms and frames the AfD's rise as a significant threat, while highlighting the lack of effective counter

Why factuality (60): The article discusses the AfD's growing influence in eastern Germany but does not reference the primary source document about the migration policy debate. It lacks specific details on the legislative proposals from the SPD, CDU, Greens, and FDP.

Why objectivity (75): The article presents a balanced view by acknowledging both the AfD's rise and the efforts of other parties to counter it. It avoids taking sides while discussing the political landscape.

Tagesschau (ARD) logoTagesschau (ARD)State / PublicCenterFactual 60Objective 75
Interview: What drives the success of the AfD

The article features an interview with Matthias Quent, an expert on extremism, discussing the rise of the AfD (Alternative for Germany) in Saxony-Anhalt and its broader implications across Germany. The AfD has become the strongest political force in the recent federal election with 38.8% of the vote, and its success is attributed to growing dissatisfaction with the federal government, reduced protest potential due to the BSW (Bundesvereinigung der Gewerkschaften), and the party’s perceived ability to solve problems. Quent argues that while the AfD's radicalization is notable, especially in Saxony-Anhalt, it is part of a wider trend affecting all of Germany. He warns against viewing this development solely as an 'eastern' issue, emphasizing that the situation reflects a national shift.

Bias read (Center): While the article discusses the rising influence of the AfD and its radicalization, it does not overtly favor one side over another. It presents the analysis of an academic expert without taking a clear ideological stance. The framing remains balanced, focusing on the causes and implications rather

Why factuality (60): The article discusses the AfD's potential success in Saxony-Anhalt but does not reference the primary source document about the migration policy debate. It lacks specific details from the SPD, CDU, Greens, and FDP's positions on migration legislation.

Why objectivity (75): The article maintains a relatively neutral tone by quoting Matthias Quent and discussing both the AfD's appeal and concerns about its rise. It avoids strong ideological framing.

Die Welt logoDie WeltIndependent🔒ProgressiveFactual 55Objective 75
Democracy: Whoever wants to ban the AfD secures the political market for a cartel of losers

The article argues against banning the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party, suggesting that such a move would consolidate power among a group of 'losers' in the political market. It implies that banning the AfD could lead to a situation where other parties dominate without competition, potentially undermining democratic principles by limiting political diversity. The piece frames the AfD as part of the political landscape rather than an outright threat to democracy.

Bias read (Progressive): The article presents a critical view of efforts to ban the AfD, implying that such actions could harm democratic pluralism. This framing aligns with left-leaning perspectives that emphasize inclusivity and the importance of allowing diverse voices in the political process.

Why factuality (55): The article discusses the argument against banning the AfD but does not reference the primary source document about the migration policy debate. It lacks specific details on the legislative proposals from the SPD, CDU, Greens, and FDP.

Why objectivity (75): The article presents the argument in a balanced way, discussing both sides of the debate without showing clear preference for either position.

Frankfurter Allgemeine (FAZ) logoFrankfurter Allgemeine (FAZ)Independent🔒ConservativeFactual 55Objective 60
Germany-Liveblog: Siegmund: Either a lutBlood sausage coalition or an AfD Prime Minister

The article reports on remarks made by Ulrich Siegmund, the leading candidate of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party during a speech at the 'Generation Deutschland' congress in Magdeburg. Siegmund, who is running for minister-president of Saxony-Anhalt, refers to potential election outcomes as either a 'blood sausage coalition' (a derogatory term implying a weak alliance between traditional parties) or an AfD-led government. He emphasizes his belief in winning the upcoming state election and calls for voter participation in monitoring the vote count to ensure transparency. Siegmund acknowledges past irregularities in elections but does not make broad accusations against other parties, instead urging citizens to observe the process.

Bias read (Conservative): The article frames Siegmund's rhetoric in a manner consistent with right-wing discourse, using strong, emotionally charged language ('blood sausage coalition') and emphasizing nationalist themes. The focus on challenging mainstream political alliances and calling for direct citizen oversight aligns右

Why factuality (55): The article discusses the AfD's campaign and statements from its candidate but does not reference the primary source document about the migration policy debate. It lacks specific details on the legislative proposals from the SPD, CDU, Greens, and FDP.

Why objectivity (60): The article presents the AfD's perspective and the reactions of supporters without overtly favoring any side. It maintains a neutral tone despite the controversial nature of the topic.

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