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Economists see no interest rate moves for the rest of the year and set GDP at 1.5% by 2026
CL🏛️ PoliticsLean Conservative4 hr. ago

Economists see no interest rate moves for the rest of the year and set GDP at 1.5% by 2026

The article discusses economic expectations for Chile in early 2025, focusing on interest rate decisions by the Central Bank of Chile (BC). The market expects the BC to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4.5% for the remainder of 2025, with economists like Samuel Carrasco and Rodrigo Cruz citing inflationary pressures from oil price increases, agricultural impacts, and currency depreciation as reasons for maintaining rates. While most experts agree on rate stability, Felipe Alarcón suggests a potential 25 basis point cut if inflationary uncertainty subsides. Regarding GDP growth, economists project a 1.5% expansion for 2026, with optimism that the economy will stabilize by mid-year.

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2 reports

La Tercera logoLa TerceraIndependent🔒ConservativeFactual 85Objective 654 days ago
Anatolianism

The article critiques the prohibition of anatocismo (interest on interest) included in Chile's Megarreforma. The author argues that this measure could harm the very people it aims to protect by reducing the returns on savings accounts and time deposits, which are crucial for many Chileans saving for housing or retirement. It warns that banks will pass on the increased risk to consumers through higher interest rates, making credit more expensive for mortgages, consumption, and small businesses. The piece also mentions that the Central Bank of Chile (CMF) has highlighted the high implementation costs and suggests improving existing limits before implementing such a strict prohibition.

Bias read (Conservative): The article frames the prohibition of anatocismo as a harmful policy that negatively impacts savers and financial access, suggesting that the current regulatory framework is insufficient and that the burden will be passed to consumers. This perspective aligns with a right-leaning economic viewpoint,

Why factuality (85): The article discusses the impact of abolishing anatocismo (compound interest) as part of the Megarreforma. It presents arguments from the perspective of financial institutions and economic experts, referencing the CMF (Commission for Financial Markets) regarding implementation costs. While it does n

Why objectivity (65): The tone is clearly critical of the policy change, presenting it as potentially harmful to consumers and the broader economy. The author uses strong language such as 'perjudicar' (harm) and 'exclusión financiera' (financial exclusion), suggesting a biased viewpoint favoring the banking sector. The a

La Tercera logoLa TerceraIndependent🔒Center4 hr. ago
Economists see no interest rate moves for the rest of the year and set GDP at 1.5% by 2026

The article discusses economic expectations for Chile in early 2025, focusing on interest rate decisions by the Central Bank of Chile (BC). The market expects the BC to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4.5% for the remainder of 2025, with economists like Samuel Carrasco and Rodrigo Cruz citing inflationary pressures from oil price increases, agricultural impacts, and currency depreciation as reasons for maintaining rates. While most experts agree on rate stability, Felipe Alarcón suggests a potential 25 basis point cut if inflationary uncertainty subsides. Regarding GDP growth, economists project a 1.5% expansion for 2026, with optimism that the economy will stabilize by mid-year.

Bias read (Center): While the article covers economic forecasts which are politically relevant, the framing remains balanced, presenting multiple viewpoints including both those expecting rate maintenance and one economist suggesting a potential cut. There is no overt ideological leaning in the selection or emphasis of

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