Konec vozniških dovoljenj? Velikan napoveduje veliko spremembo v prometu

Uber’s leadership has outlined a transformative vision for urban mobility, suggesting that personal car ownership could become obsolete within the next two decades. According to Andrew Macdonald, Uber's president and chief operating officer, the role of private vehicles in daily life might diminish significantly over the coming years, with autonomous cars, electric scooters, bicycles, and public transport potentially replacing them as primary modes of transportation. Macdonald emphasized that while cars will still exist, their function will change dramatically. Instead of individuals owning their own vehicles, he envisions a future where people access shared or commercial transportation services when needed. This shift would reduce the need for personal car ownership, which he argues is economically inefficient due to high costs and underutilization. He noted that new cars have increased in price by approximately 30 percent over the past six years, yet they remain parked for 98 percent of the time, continuing to incur expenses even when not in use. The economic argument against personal car ownership includes not just purchase prices but also depreciation, insurance, maintenance, and servicing costs. These ongoing expenses mean that vehicle owners pay for their cars even when they are not being used. This perspective aligns with Uber’s strategic focus on autonomous mobility, positioning the company at the forefront of this transformation. Uber’s strategy involves collaborating with various companies in the field of autonomous driving rather than developing its own technology. In 2020, Uber closed its autonomous driving division, ATG, and shifted towards becoming a platform that connects users with different providers of autonomous vehicles. The company currently works with firms such as Waymo and Waabi, integrating their autonomous vehicles into its existing network. In January 2026, Uber participated in financing the Canadian startup Waabi, which raised nearly a billion dollars through this initiative. A key component of Uber’s strategy is the deployment of autonomous taxis, known as robotaxis. In June, Uber and Waymo announced plans to introduce autonomous taxi services in Munich, pending regulatory approval. Uber also collaborates with Chinese tech firm Baidu to test robotaxis internationally, including in London. Executive Chairman Dara Khosrowshahi shares a similar vision, believing that autonomous vehicles could eventually handle a large portion of today’s trips driven by human operators. Despite the optimism from Uber’s leadership, the transition to widespread use of autonomous vehicles is expected to take around 15 to 20 years. Factors influencing this timeline include technological advancements, legislative processes, regulatory approvals, and user readiness to trust driverless vehicles. Uber anticipates that its robotaxi services will be available in 15 cities across more than a dozen countries by the end of 2026. If the development of autonomous mobility continues as anticipated, the personal car may gradually lose its status as the primary mode of individual transport. People might instead combine various forms of mobility, public transit, bicycles, electric scooters, and autonomous vehicles, accessing these options as needed. In this scenario, the car becomes a service that users order and pay for when required, rather than a necessity for daily life. Uber sees this shift as both a fundamental change in mobility and a critical opportunity for growth. As the landscape evolves, the company aims to position itself as a central player in shaping the future of transportation. With continued investment and collaboration, Uber seeks to lead the charge toward a world where personal car ownership is no longer essential, marking a significant departure from current norms.