For the first time in nearly a decade, a majority of American voters believe the Democratic Party offers a better approach to managing the economy than the Republican Party, according to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll. This shift marks a notable change in public sentiment, particularly as U.S. President Donald Trump’s approval rating continues to decline amid economic concerns tied to ongoing conflicts involving Iran. The poll, conducted online from Wednesday through Monday, surveyed 4,505 U.S. adults and revealed that 37% of registered voters think Democrats handle the economy better than Republicans, compared with 36% who favor the GOP. An additional 27% expressed uncertainty or believed a third-party alternative might perform better. These results contrast sharply with previous trends, where Republicans maintained an economic advantage throughout much of Trump’s first term and into Biden’s presidency. Trump’s approval rating dropped to 35%, down from 37% in a prior poll conducted last month. His support remains near the lowest levels of his presidency, with only a single percentage point separating him from the lowest recorded approval. The poll highlights growing dissatisfaction with his administration’s economic policies, especially as inflation and rising fuel costs have strained household budgets. Economic anxieties have intensified following the U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran in February, which sparked a prolonged conflict and led to a surge in gasoline prices. Since the escalation, gas prices have climbed by over 25%, adding approximately $1 to the cost of a gallon at the pump. Despite Trump’s assertion that the strikes aimed to weaken Iran’s nuclear program and destabilize its regime, many Americans view these actions as contributing to financial hardship. This shift in voter preference reflects broader discontent with the Republican Party’s economic strategy under Trump. For most of his tenure, Republicans enjoyed an edge on economic issues, but this advantage has steadily eroded. Recent polls show the gap has narrowed to almost nothing, with some indicating a slight Democratic lead. The trend suggests that economic performance is increasingly influencing public perception of both parties. In the upcoming November midterm elections, Democrats aim to capitalize on this momentum, with 42% of registered voters expressing a preference for a Democrat in congressional races, compared to 37% for Republicans. Independent voters, who make up a significant portion of the electorate, lean toward Democrats by 12 percentage points. However, the actual election landscape is more nuanced, with only around 30 House seats and eight Senate races considered competitive. Despite the poll’s findings, Trump has consistently rejected mainstream polling data, dismissing it as biased or inaccurate. Ahead of the release of the latest survey, he tweeted on his Truth Social platform that “My REAL Polling Numbers, not those made up by the Fake News Media, are the best they have ever been.” Such statements underscore the divide between public sentiment and the president’s self-perception. The Reuters/Ipsos poll carries a margin of error of 2 percentage points, reflecting the reliability of the data. As the midterms approach, the focus on economic issues is likely to remain central to campaign strategies, with candidates vying to position themselves as the best stewards of fiscal responsibility. The outcome of these elections will depend on whether voters continue to prioritize economic stability over other policy considerations.
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