A new survey by Paraná Pesquisas indicates a closely contested race for the governorship of Alagoas in the 2026 elections between former Minister of Transportation Renan Filho (MDB) and former mayor of Maceió João Henrique Caldas (JHC, PSDB). The poll surveyed 1,400 voters between June 28 and July 1, with a margin of error of ±2.7 percentage points. In Scenario 1, JHC leads with 45.9% versus Renan Filho’s 41%. In Scenario 2, JHC holds a slightly larger lead at 47.5% compared to Renan Filho’s 42%. Scenario 3 allows respondents to choose multiple candidates, showing Renan Filho with 35.5%, JHC with 28%, and Lenilda Luna (UP) with 20.1%. The survey was registered with the Electoral Court under code AL04491/2026.
Procjena pristranosti (Sredina): The article presents polling data without overtly favoring either candidate. It provides detailed results across different scenarios and includes methodological information such as sample size and margin of error. There is no evident framing bias, editorializing, or selective sourcing that would tip




