A report by the Institute for Educational Reform estimates that 26,457 disengaged Victorian Year 8 students will cost the state economy $33 billion over their lifetimes due to reduced productivity, lower earnings, and increased social costs such as healthcare and justice system burdens. This figure accounts for both students who are absent from school and those who attend but fall behind academically. Research highlights that approximately 25% of these students may never formally enter the workforce, while others work intermittently, leading to significant lost income potential. The study notes that the economic impact stems primarily from low wages and missed productivity rather than direct tax revenue loss. Attendance rates in Victoria have declined from 92.4% in 2016 to 86.9% in 2025, with surveys indicating that less than half of students feel a strong sense of belonging or interest in learning.
Bias read (Center): The article presents statistical findings and expert commentary without overtly favoring any political perspective. It focuses on economic and educational outcomes rather than partisan issues, and the framing remains neutral, emphasizing data-driven conclusions.





