Political polls, Vannacci's national future rises by one point and is stable above the league

In Italy, political polling has shown a notable shift with Futuro Nazionale, the party led by former general Roberto Vannacci, surpassing the League (Lega) in support. According to the latest Supermedia Agi/Youtrend survey released this week, Futuro Nazionale has climbed above the 6 percent threshold, gaining nearly one percentage point over the past two weeks. This rise comes as the broader center-right coalition declines by the same margin, with the League itself dropping to 5.8 percent, down 0.4 points. The results confirm earlier indications that Futuro Nazionale is challenging established parties within the right-wing spectrum. The survey provides detailed breakdowns of current voter intentions. Fratelli d’Italia (FdI) holds the highest share at 27.7 percent, though it lost 0.1 points compared to previous measurements. The Democratic Party (Pd) remains stable at 21.5 percent, while the Five Star Movement (M5S) gains slightly to 13.0 percent. Forza Italia slips to 7.8 percent, and the Green Left alliance drops to 6.5 percent. Futuro Nazionale stands at 6.2 percent, having gained 0.9 points since the last measurement. Action (Azione) falls to 3.0 percent, and Italia Viva stays steady at 2.3 percent. Smaller parties such as +Europe and Noi Moderati also show minor declines. When viewed through the lens of coalitions, the center-right bloc totals 42.3 percent, down 0.9 points, while the centrosinistra maintains its position at 29.4 percent. M5S remains unchanged at 13.0 percent. The third pole, comprising smaller right-leaning parties, drops to 6.5 percent. Other parties collectively gain 1.0 point, reaching 8.8 percent. Looking ahead to potential future elections, the "campo largo," which includes the Pd, M5S, Avs, and Italia Viva, reaches 44.7 percent, up 0.2 points, while the center-right remains at 42.3 percent. Futuro Nazionale continues to hold its ground at 6.2 percent, with the center-left parties at 4.2 percent and other groups at 2.6 percent. The latest poll conducted by SWG for TgLa7, presented by Enrico Mentana, reveals further nuances. Futuro Nazionale gains another 0.4 percent, reaching exactly 6 percent, placing it just under half a point ahead of the League, which rises from 5.4 to 5.6 percent. Forza Italia also shows improvement, climbing to 7.4 percent. Meanwhile, Fratelli d’Italia loses ground, falling to 27.1 percent, significantly below its peak of over 30 percent less than a year ago. The pool of undecided voters and potential abstainers decreases slightly, from 28 to 27 percent. Within the centrosinistra, both the Pd and M5S experience slight declines. The Pd drops from 21.8 to 21.5 percent, and the M5S moves from 13.3 to 13.1 percent. Avs gains a tenth of a point, reaching 6.5 percent, and Italia Viva increases to 2.5 percent. Action, led by Carlo Calenda, stabilizes at 3.4 percent. If voting were held today, the combined "campo largo" would secure 43.6 percent of the vote, giving it more than two percentage points advantage over the governing coalition, which stands at 41.2 percent including the 1.1 percent from Noi Moderati. The emergence of Futuro Nazionale as a rising force poses strategic questions for the center-right. While joining a formal coalition appears unlikely, alliances with figures like Calenda could potentially reshape the political landscape. The impact of Vannacci’s party will depend largely on whether it can consolidate its support base and translate it into tangible electoral outcomes. The shifting dynamics suggest that traditional power structures are being tested, with new players entering the fray.