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They'd end up deep below the threshold of entry to the House.
CZ🏛️ Politics3 days ago

They'd end up deep below the threshold of entry to the House.

A survey conducted by Median indicates that if elections were held in May 2026, several Czech political parties would fall short of the threshold required to enter the Chamber of Deputies. According to the findings, Pirates would receive 8.5%, Social Democrats (SPD) 6.5%, and Motorists 3.5% of voter support. The survey suggests that TOP 09 and KDU-ČSL would fail to meet the 5% threshold needed for parliamentary representation, with 3% and 2.5% respectively. Hnutí Naše Česko, led by Jihočeský region governor Martin Kubálek, would secure 4.5%, just below the entry threshold. The survey also highlights generational and educational differences in voting preferences, with ANO being the most popular among those aged 35 and older, while STAN appeals more to younger voters and those with higher education. Voter turnout is expected to be lower than in the previous election, with approximately half of respondents planning to vote, and another 8% considering participation.

Median a STEM, dvě výzkumné firmy, publikovaly průzkumy, které ukazují, že hnutí ANO by v případě voleb do Sněmovny v květnu nebo červnu získalo nejvyšší podporu. Hnutí Motoristé, které v roce 2025 vedly vládu, by podle obou průzkumů dramaticky propadlo a nemělo by dostatečné podpory pro vstup do dolní parlamentní komory. Tyto výsledky jsou významným indikátorem změn v politickém spektře a možných dlouhodobých trendů v občanském hlasování.

Podle průzkumu společnosti Median, který zahrnoval 1020 respondentů, by ANO získalo 35,5 procenta hlasů, což by ho postavilo na první místo. STAN by získalo 14,5 procenta, ODS 12 procent, Piráti 8,5 procenta a SPD 6,5 procenta. Motoristé by získali pouze 3,5 procenta, což je pod pětiprocentní hranicí potřebnou pro vstup do Sněmovny. Tento výsledek naznačuje, že hnutí, které v roce 2025 vedené Andrejem Babišem vytvořilo většinu, ztratilo většinu podporu. Zároveň se zdá, že podpora ANO i STAN vzrostla ve srovnání s loňskými volbami, zatímco voličská základna Pirátů zůstala téměř stejná. SPD si mírně pohoršila, což je známý trend, zatímco Motoristé ztratili výrazně větší podporu.

V průzkumu STEM, který zahrnoval 1352 respondentů, by ANO získalo 32,2 procenta hlasů, což by ho opět postavilo na první místo. STAN by získalo 13,5 procenta, ODS 13 procenta, SPD 7,9 procenta, Piráti 7,6 procenta a Motoristé 5,3 procenta. Podobně jako v průzkumu Median, by Motoristé zůstali pod hranicí potřebnou pro vstup do Sněmovny. Zároveň se podle STEM zvýšila podpora STAN, což naznačuje, že hnutí, které během posledních let získalo významnou podporu zejména mezi mladými voliči, se dále rozvíjí. Zároveň se podle STEM zvýšila podpora ANO, i když mírně, což naznačuje, že hnutí zůstává jedním z hlavních hráčů v politickém spektře.

Volební účast by podle průzkumu Median byla přibližně o 11 procentních bodů nižší než v loňských volbách, kdy byla 68,95 procenta. V současnosti by 50 procent lidí určitě zúčastnilo volby, dalších 8 procent by zvažovalo účast. K volbám by určitě nešlo 38,5 procenta dotázaných, spíše by nešlo 3,5 procenta. Tato nízká účast by mohla ovlivnit výsledky, ale zároveň naznačuje, že volební zájem zůstává v rámci normálních hladin.

Výsledky průzkumů naznačují, že hnutí ANO a STAN mají významnou podporu, zatímco Motoristé ztratily většinu podporu. Zároveň se zdá, že hnutí, která se v minulosti zapsala do politické scény, jako jsou Piráti a SPD, zůstávají v mezilehlém postavení. Zároveň se objevil nový hráč – hnutí Naše Česko, které by získalo 4,5 procenta hlasů, což je těsně pod hranicí potřebnou pro vstup do Sněmovny. Tento výsledek naznačuje, že existuje potenciál pro nové hnutí nebo politické subjekty, které mohou získat větší podporu v budoucnu.

Vzhledem ke změnám v podpoře jednotlivých stran a k tomu, že volební účast se znižuje, lze očekávat, že volební výsledky budou ovlivněny nejen podporou jednotlivých hnutí, ale i celkovým zájmem občanů o politiku. Výsledky průzkumů naznačují, že ANO a STAN mají významnou šanci na získání většiny, zatímco Motoristé ztratily většinu podporu. V tomto kontextu je možné očekávat, že volební výsledky budou ovlivněny nejen výsledky průzkumů, ale i reakcí politických stran na tyto výsledky.

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7 reports

ČT24 logoČT24State / PublicCenterFactual 90Objective 853 days ago
Yes would win the elections in May, Motorists out of the House, reports Median

A poll conducted by Median suggests that if parliamentary elections were held in May, the ANO movement would win with 35.5% of the vote, followed by STAN with 14.5%, and ODS with 12%. The Pirate Party and SPD would also enter the lower house, while the governing Motorists would fall below the 5% threshold needed for entry. The poll indicates that 8.5% of voters would support the Pirates, 6.5% SPD, and 3.5% Motorists. The model does not include coalitions, meaning parties like TOP 09 and KDU-ČSL, which previously ran together, would remain outside the chamber. ANO remains the most popular choice among people aged 35 and older, while STAN appeals more to those aged 25–34 and university-educated voters. Voter turnout for the hypothetical May election is expected to be around 50%, significantly lower than the 68.95% seen in last year’s elections.

Bias read (Center): The article presents a neutral summary of a polling report without overtly favoring any political side. It reports percentages and demographic breakdowns objectively, citing the Median survey without apparent ideological framing or selective emphasis.

Why these scores (Factual 90 · Objective 85): The article accurately reports the Median poll findings and provides additional context about the political landscape. It maintains a neutral and factual tone.

Seznam Zprávy logoSeznam ZprávyIndependentCenterFactual 90Objective 854 days ago
Median: House elections in May would have been won by YES, Motorists lost

A poll conducted by Median suggests that if parliamentary elections were held in May, the ANO movement would win with 35.5% of the vote, followed by STAN with 14.5%, ODS with 12%, Pirates with 8.5%, and SPD with 6.5%. The governing Motorists would fall below the 5% threshold needed for entry into parliament, receiving only 3.5% support. Other smaller parties like TOP 09, KDU-ČSL, and Naše Česko would also fail to meet the threshold. The survey indicates that ANO retains strong support among older voters and those with secondary education, while STAN appeals more to younger, university-educated voters. Voter turnout is expected to be lower than in previous elections, with half of respondents planning to participate and another 8% considering participation.

Bias read (Center): The article presents polling data objectively, citing percentages for various political parties and their potential outcomes in hypothetical elections. It does not exhibit overtly biased language, one-sided sourcing, or omission of context. The framing remains neutral, focusing on statistical trends

Why these scores (Factual 90 · Objective 85): This article aligns closely with other sources regarding the projected election results. It accurately reports the polling data and maintains an objective tone throughout.

Novinky.cz logoNovinky.czIndependentCenterFactual 90Objective 854 days ago
They'd end up deep below the threshold of entry to the House.

A survey conducted by Median indicates that if elections were held in May 2026, several Czech political parties would fall short of the threshold required to enter the Chamber of Deputies. According to the findings, Pirates would receive 8.5%, Social Democrats (SPD) 6.5%, and Motorists 3.5% of voter support. The survey suggests that TOP 09 and KDU-ČSL would fail to meet the 5% threshold needed for parliamentary representation, with 3% and 2.5% respectively. Hnutí Naše Česko, led by Jihočeský region governor Martin Kubálek, would secure 4.5%, just below the entry threshold. The survey also highlights generational and educational differences in voting preferences, with ANO being the most popular among those aged 35 and older, while STAN appeals more to younger voters and those with higher education. Voter turnout is expected to be lower than in the previous election, with approximately half of respondents planning to vote, and another 8% considering participation.

Bias read (Center): The article presents polling data and demographic breakdowns without overtly favoring any political side. It reports percentages and thresholds objectively, using neutral language and citing the Median survey as the primary source. There is no evident framing that leans toward one political ideology

Why these scores (Factual 90 · Objective 85): The article presents detailed polling data consistently found in other sources. It includes methodological information like sample size and margin of error. The tone remains largely neutral and informative.

Aktuálně.cz logoAktuálně.czIndependentCenterFactual 90Objective 854 days ago
New poll: YES is leading by a large margin, motorists are down, ahead of Cuba

A new opinion poll conducted by Median indicates that the ANO movement remains the most supported political party in the Czech Republic, with 35.5% support according to the May 2026 electoral model. The Pirate Party (Piráti) would receive 8.5%, while the Social Democrats (SPD) would get 6.5%. The Motorists' Party (Motoristé) has significantly declined, receiving only 3.5% support. Other smaller parties like TOP 09 and KDU-ČSL are projected to receive 3.0% and 2.5% respectively, but none would reach the threshold for entering the Chamber of Deputies. The poll also notes that voter turnout for upcoming elections is expected to be lower than in the November 2025 parliamentary elections, with half of respondents definitely voting and another 8% considering participation. The survey included 1020 respondents, with a margin of error of 1.5 percentage points for larger parties and 3 percentage points for smaller ones.

Bias read (Center): The article presents polling data without overtly biased language or selective sourcing. It reports percentages across multiple parties and provides context about voter behavior and historical comparisons. There is no clear emphasis on one side over another, and the framing appears neutral, focusing

Why these scores (Factual 90 · Objective 85): The article accurately presents the Median poll data and contextualizes it within recent elections. It maintains a neutral and factual tone.

Aktuálně.cz logoAktuálně.czIndependentCenterFactual 85Objective 805 days ago
Poll: Mayors overwhelmed the opposition, second in the poll

A recent survey by STEM for CNN Prima News suggests that the ruling ANO movement, led by Prime Minister Andrej Babiš, maintains strong support at around 32 percent, slightly lower than the 34.5 percent recorded during last year's elections. The opposition alliance STAN has shown significant growth, surpassing its previous election results of 11.23 percent. Meanwhile, smaller parties like SPD, Pirates, and Motorists remain below the five percent threshold needed for entry into the lower house of parliament, with SPD at 7.9 percent, Pirates at 7.6 percent, and Motorists at 5.3 percent. The survey does not account for coalitions, meaning parties such as TOP 09, which would receive 3.4 percent, and KDU-ČSL, projected at 2.4 percent, would still fall short of entering parliament.

Bias read (Center): The article presents survey data objectively, quoting the analytical institute's comments without overtly favoring any political side. It provides percentages for various parties and notes changes compared to previous elections but avoids evaluative language or biased framing.

Why these scores (Factual 85 · Objective 80): The article accurately reports STEM polling data and provides analysis of trends. It maintains a mostly neutral tone while offering some interpretation of the results.

Seznam Zprávy logoSeznam ZprávyIndependentCenterFactual 85Objective 806 days ago
STEM: YES would win the House elections again in June, second would be STAN

A poll conducted by STEM for CNN Prima News suggests that if parliamentary elections were held in June, the ANO movement would win with 32.2% of the vote, followed by STAN with 13.5%, and ODS with 13%. Other parties such as SPD, Pirates, and Motorists would also surpass the 5% threshold needed to enter the lower house of parliament. According to the analysis, ANO maintains a strong position despite a slight decline since last year’s election, where it received 34.5%. STAN has seen growth compared to last year’s results, while SPD’s support remains nearly unchanged, and both Pirates and Motorists have slightly decreased. The poll does not include coalitions, meaning smaller parties like TOP 09 and KDU-ČSL would likely remain outside the chamber.

Bias read (Center): The article presents polling data and analysis from STEM without overtly favoring any political side. It includes direct quotes from the analytical institute and provides comparative figures across multiple parties, offering a balanced view of the current political landscape based on the survey.

Why these scores (Factual 85 · Objective 80): The article presents STEM polling data with slight variations from other sources. It offers analysis of the results while maintaining a generally neutral tone.

Novinky.cz logoNovinky.czIndependentCenterFactual 85Objective 806 days ago
Yes would win the election

A poll conducted by STEM for CNN Prima News suggests that the ANO movement would win the June elections with 32.2 percent of the vote, followed by the STAN movement with 13.5 percent and the ODS with 13 percent. Other parties such as SPD, Pirates, Motorists, TOP 09, Naše Česko, Civic Democrats, Greens, and KSČM would receive smaller shares of the vote according to the survey. The estimated voter turnout is 67 percent. The survey was carried out between June 16 and 21, involving 1,352 respondents.

Bias read (Center): The article presents polling data without overtly biased language or selective sourcing. It reports percentages for various political parties neutrally, without emphasizing any particular outcome or framing it in a way that favors one side over another.

Why these scores (Factual 85 · Objective 80): The article presents STEM polling data with some variation compared to other sources. It provides methodology details but has a slightly more analytical tone than purely neutral reporting.

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