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El Niño phenomenon is already present in Colombia and could become one of the most intense recorded since 1950, according to Ideam
CO🏛️ PoliticsCenter2 days ago

El Niño phenomenon is already present in Colombia and could become one of the most intense recorded since 1950, according to Ideam

The Colombian Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies (Ideam) has confirmed that El Niño conditions are already present in the country and warned that there is a probability exceeding 95% that the phenomenon will strengthen during the second half of 2026 and extend into the first quarter of 2027. If current projections hold, the event could rank among the most intense since 1950. The Ideam explained that oceanic and atmospheric conditions in the eastern Pacific have been monitored alongside international climate monitoring centers, leading to confirmation of the establishment of the phenomenon both in the ocean and atmosphere. According to international model consensus, between September and November, the sea surface temperature anomaly in the eastern Pacific would reach nearly 3 degrees Celsius above normal. There is a 63% chance the phenomenon will exceed the 2.0-degree threshold and be classified as 'very strong' between November 2026 and January 2027. International organizations such as NOAA, IRI, WMO, and the Ideam have supported this forecast, showing a continuous trend toward strengthening warm conditions in the eastern Pacific. Technical analyses warn,

Colombia's weather service, the Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies (Ideam), has issued forecasts predicting increased rainfall across several regions over the next 24 hours. The national forecast indicates a rise in cloud cover and precipitation in wide areas of the country, particularly in the Pacific coast, northern parts of the Andean region, and sections of the Caribbean. According to the latest report, the heaviest rains are expected during the afternoon and night, with significant accumulations anticipated in multiple regions. The Pacific region will be among the most affected by these rains. The forecast outlines that the skies will range from partially to largely cloudy, accompanied by rain in sectors of Chocó, western Valle del Cauca, Cauca, and Nariño. Significant weather events are predicted to occur in the late afternoon, evening, and even into the early morning. In the Andean region, rain is expected in Antioquia, Risaralda, Caldas, Santander, Norte de Santander, as well as in the east and center of Cundinamarca and Boyacá. The highest accumulations are projected for the afternoons and evenings, while the central and southern parts of this region will experience dry conditions with skies ranging from lightly to partially cloudy. For the Caribbean region, the forecast indicates partly to slightly cloudy skies with light to moderate rain in areas of Córdoba, Bolívar, Cesar, Atlántico, Sucre, and Magdalena. Stronger rains are expected during the night, while La Guajira will maintain dry weather conditions. In the Orinoquia region, the atmosphere is expected to be partly to mostly cloudy throughout much of the day, with a likelihood of rain in Arauca, Casanare, Meta, Vichada, and parts of the llanos foothills. Heavier rains are also expected in the afternoon and evening. In the Amazonian region, the sky will be partially cloudy with the possibility of rain in Guainía, Caquetá, Putumayo, and Guaviare. The heaviest accumulations are expected in the morning, with a gradual decrease in precipitation towards the afternoon. Meanwhile, the south of the Amazon region will have predominantly dry weather conditions. In the insular region, the sky is expected to be partially cloudy during the day, with the possibility of light rain over the maritime area, although no major intensity events are anticipated. Despite some areas experiencing stable weather, the overall trend for the next 24 hours is an increase in cloud cover and rainfall across much of the national territory, especially during the afternoon and evening. Bogotá will have a day with partially cloudy skies and light rain in the west and north of the city during the afternoon. The temperature will range between 8°C and 20°C, with dry conditions prevailing during the night. Barranquilla is expected to have slightly cloudy skies with predominantly dry weather. The maximum temperature will reach 35°C. Cartagena will have partially cloudy skies with predominantly dry weather, though light rain is possible in the afternoon. The maximum temperature will be 35°C. Bucaramanga will have skies ranging from partially to largely cloudy, with the possibility of light rain in the afternoon and evening. The maximum temperature will be 30°C. Medellín is expected to have partially cloudy skies with generally dry weather, although some drizzle is possible in the evening. The maximum temperature will be 30°C. Tunja will have skies with variable cloudiness and the possibility of light rain in the afternoon. The maximum temperature will be 19°C. Cali is likely to experience light rain during the night, with skies ranging from partially to largely covered. The maximum temperature will be 34°C. Popayán is expected to have skies ranging from partially to largely cloudy, with predominantly dry weather, though occasional drizzle is possible during the day. The maximum temperature will be 27°C. In the Caribbean region, skies will range from partially to largely cloudy, with a high probability of light to moderate rain during the afternoon and evening in the southern parts of Córdoba, Bolívar, and Sucre. In the Andean and Pacific regions, mainly dry weather is expected, although light to moderate rain is not ruled out in the afternoon in Chocó, parts of Antioquia, Caldas, and Santander. During the afternoon and evening, light to moderate rain could occur in these areas. In the Orinoquia and Amazon regions, there will be conditions of partial to largely cloudy skies, with a high probability of moderate to locally heavy rain in the northern part of Arauca, southern part of Meta, Caquetá, Putumayo, Vaupés, Guaviare, and eastern part of Guainía. According to the report from the Ideam, these temperature conditions will be accompanied by significant atmospheric humidity, which would lead to elevated thermal sensations during the afternoon in many parts of the country.

9 reports

Semana logoSemanaIndependentCenterFactual 90Objective 854 days ago
Weather forecast in Colombia: rainfall in these regions will increase over the next 24 hours, according to Ideam

The article reports on the weather forecast for Colombia, indicating an increase in cloud cover and rainfall across various regions over the next 24 hours, according to the Colombian Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology, and Environmental Studies (Ideam). The most significant rains are expected during the afternoon and night, particularly in the Pacific coast, northern Andean regions, parts of the Caribbean, and the Orinoco basin. The report highlights that while some areas like La Guajira will remain dry, other regions such as the Amazon and the islands may experience light rain. The director of Ideam warns about the intensity of the El Niño phenomenon, which could contribute to these weather patterns.

Bias read (Center): The article presents a factual and balanced report on the weather forecast without overtly favoring any political stance. It provides information based on scientific data from Ideam and does not take sides in any political debate related to climate or environmental policies.

Why factuality (90): The article accurately reports on the Ideam’s confirmation of El Niño’s presence in Colombia and its projected intensity, citing specific temperature anomalies and model projections. It aligns closely with the primary source document in terms of the scientific evidence and regional implications.

Why objectivity (85): The tone is neutral and factual, relying on official statements and scientific data without injecting personal commentary or emotional language. It presents the information in a balanced and objective manner.

Semana logoSemanaIndependentCenterFactual 90Objective 8511 days ago
El Niño: Why are houses often recommended to be painted white?

The Colombian Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology, and Environmental Studies (Ideam) reported on July 9, 2026, that El Niño conditions continue to develop in the tropical Pacific Ocean. This assessment was based on continuous monitoring by Ideam and analyses from international climate prediction centers like NOAA. While a blackout is not the most likely scenario, there is a risk, as warned by Isagen. The vice-presidential candidate, José Manuel Restrepo, expressed concern about the potential for an electrical blackout. According to Ideam, there is an 81% chance that the phenomenon will reach 'very strong' intensity between October and December 2026, placing it among the strongest El Niño events since 1950. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center confirmed that ocean-atmosphere system characteristics align with a developing and strengthening El Niño event, supported by positive sea surface temperature anomalies in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, high subsurface heat content, and increasingly aligned atmospheric responses to ocean warming. Predictive models suggest the phenomenon will persist through the second half of 2026, with over 97% probability of maintaining conditions by

Bias read (Center): The article presents factual information about the ongoing El Niño phenomenon, including scientific assessments from Ideam and NOAA, as well as concerns raised by political figures such as the vice-presidential candidate. There is no clear ideological slant in the framing of the report, which relies

Why factuality (90): The article accurately confirms El Niño presence in Colombia with specific probability figures matching the primary source. It includes detailed information about temperature anomalies and timeframes consistent with the FAO analysis. All claims are supported by the Ideam's official statements.

Why objectivity (85): The article presents information in a neutral, factual manner without editorializing. It provides balanced coverage of potential impacts while maintaining objective language throughout, focusing on scientific projections rather than taking sides in any debate.

El Tiempo logoEl TiempoIndependentCenterFactual 85Objective 802 days ago
Puráce in emergency: public calamity due to volcanic activity and effects of the El Niño phenomenon

The article reports on the ongoing volcanic activity of Mount Puracé in Colombia's Cauca region, which has led to a public emergency due to falling ash and drought caused by high temperatures linked to El Niño. The municipality declared a state of calamity, citing severe economic impacts on agriculture, tourism, dairy production, and local livelihoods. Over 4,000 residents are directly affected, with significant losses reported in crops such as potatoes, strawberries, blackberries, and coffee. Dairy production has also declined sharply due to pasture dryness, and eight tourist sites have experienced reduced visitor numbers. The volcano’s alert level was raised to orange by the Colombian Geological Service, indicating a high likelihood of eruption within days or weeks.

Bias read (Center): The article presents factual information about the volcanic crisis and its socio-economic impacts without overtly favoring any political stance. It includes quotes from the mayor and references to governmental agencies like the Colombian Geological Service, but does not take a clear ideological side

Why factuality (85): The article accurately reports on El Niño conditions confirmed by the Ideam and includes specific probability percentages aligned with the primary source. It references international climate prediction centers like NOAA and provides technical details about temperature anomalies consistent with the F

Why objectivity (80): The article maintains a neutral, informative tone presenting scientific findings without overt bias. It provides balanced coverage of potential impacts including both energy risks and climate patterns while maintaining objective language throughout.

El Tiempo logoEl TiempoIndependentCenterFactual 80Objective 807 days ago
El Niño phenomenon is already present in Colombia and could become one of the most intense recorded since 1950, according to Ideam

The Colombian Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies (Ideam) has confirmed that El Niño conditions are already present in the country and warned that there is a probability exceeding 95% that the phenomenon will strengthen during the second half of 2026 and extend into the first quarter of 2027. If current projections hold, the event could rank among the most intense since 1950. The Ideam explained that oceanic and atmospheric conditions in the eastern Pacific have been monitored alongside international climate monitoring centers, leading to confirmation of the establishment of the phenomenon both in the ocean and atmosphere. According to international model consensus, between September and November, the sea surface temperature anomaly in the eastern Pacific would reach nearly 3 degrees Celsius above normal. There is a 63% chance the phenomenon will exceed the 2.0-degree threshold and be classified as 'very strong' between November 2026 and January 2027. International organizations such as NOAA, IRI, WMO, and the Ideam have supported this forecast, showing a continuous trend toward strengthening warm conditions in the eastern Pacific. Technical analyses warn,

Bias read (Center): The article presents factual scientific information regarding the El Niño phenomenon based on data from the Ideam and international meteorological organizations. It does not take a partisan stance, nor does it emphasize any particular political agenda. The framing remains neutral, focusing on the气象和

Why factuality (80): The article accurately references the FAO's findings about agricultural impacts and includes specific statistics from the 2015-2016 El Niño episode. It mentions regional vulnerabilities in Latin America and Colombia's dependence on rainfall, aligning with the primary source's analysis.

Why objectivity (80): The article maintains a neutral tone presenting facts without overt bias. It provides balanced coverage of potential impacts while maintaining objective language throughout, though it focuses more on regional impacts than the global perspective in the primary source.

El Tiempo logoEl TiempoIndependentCenterFactual 75Objective 655 days ago
El Niño threatens to be among the strongest since 1950: scientists warn of impacts for Colombia, the Caribbean and coral reefs

Scientists warn that Colombia could face one of the strongest El Niño events since 1950, with potential impacts including droughts, extreme heat, lower reservoir levels, wildfires, and marine ecosystem damage between October and December 2026. The Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology, and Environmental Studies (Ideam) forecasts an 81% chance of a 'very strong' El Niño during this period. Oceanographer Rafael Torres Parra emphasizes the need for precautionary measures, noting that current ocean temperatures have reached historical levels, exceeding average temperatures by over 4 degrees Celsius. The assessment was presented at an international academic event supported by French and Ecuadorian institutions.

Bias read (Center): The article presents scientific findings and warnings about an impending El Niño event without overtly promoting any political agenda. It includes expert opinions from researchers and institutions but does not take a partisan stance or emphasize specific political responses. The framing remains fact

Why factuality (75): This article aligns closely with the primary source by mentioning the potential intensity of El Niño since 1950, referencing historical events like 1997-1998 and 2015-2016, and includes details about expected impacts such as droughts, heatwaves, and marine effects. However, it lacks specific mention

Why objectivity (65): The article presents a clear warning about the potential severity of El Niño, which is appropriate given the content, but it leans towards an urgent and cautionary tone without providing counterpoints or alternative viewpoints, making it slightly less objective.

Semana logoSemanaIndependentCenterFactual 65Objective 708 days ago
Weather forecast: areas expected to receive rain on July 30

The Colombian Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology, and Environmental Studies (Ideam) has released a weather forecast for July 30, predicting slightly above-average temperatures across the country. The report indicates dry conditions in most areas during the day, with light rain expected in the afternoon and evening in several cities including Bogotá, Bucaramanga, Medellín, Cali, and Popayán. Light to moderate rainfall is likely in parts of the Caribbean region, particularly in southern Córdoba, Bolívar, and Sucre. In the Andean and Pacific regions, mostly dry weather is expected, though light rains could occur in Chocó, Antioquia, Caldas, and Santander. Moderate to strong rainfall is predicted in parts of the Orinoquia and Amazon regions, especially in northern Arauca, southern Meta, Caquetá, Putumayo, Vaupés, Guaviare, and eastern Guainía. High humidity levels are expected to contribute to elevated thermal sensations in many parts of the country during the afternoon.

Bias read (Center): The article provides a straightforward weather forecast without any political commentary, framing, or bias. It focuses solely on meteorological data and does not involve political figures, policies, or contentious issues.

Why factuality (65): The article provides a detailed weather forecast from Ideam for July 30th, including specific cities and temperature ranges. It aligns with the cross-source consensus that there will be light rain in some areas and higher temperatures than average. However, it does not mention any broader climate pa

Why objectivity (70): The tone remains neutral and informative, presenting the weather data objectively without emotional language or bias. The article focuses solely on reporting the forecast without adding commentary or opinion.

Semana logoSemanaIndependentCenterFactual 65Objective 609 days ago
Director of Ideam speaks in SEMANA and warns about the El Niño phenomenon: "One of the most intense"

The director of Colombia's Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology, and Environmental Studies (IDEAM), Ghisliane Echeverry Prieto, warned in an interview with *Semana* about the potential impact of a strong El Niño phenomenon, which could lead to extreme weather conditions such as heavy rains, droughts, and increased temperatures across the country. She emphasized that these climate changes could result in more frequent natural disasters like wildfires, affecting both public health and various economic sectors. Echeverry noted that IDEAM has been working to improve technological capabilities and communication strategies to better prepare the population for climate-related risks. She highlighted that while Colombia has historically focused on responding to disasters after they occur, there is now a growing emphasis on proactive preparedness.

Bias read (Center): The article presents a factual report on climate warnings issued by a government agency head, with no overtly biased language or selective sourcing. The content focuses on scientific assessments and preparedness measures rather than taking a stance on political issues.

Why factuality (65): The article reports on El Niño being potentially one of the strongest since 1950 based on climate models and mentions the potential impacts on Colombia, but does not reference the primary source document from the FAO or provide specific regional risk areas like those mentioned in the primary source.

Why objectivity (60): The tone is somewhat alarmist, using phrases like 'uno de los más intensos' and emphasizing the need for preparation, which could be seen as promoting urgency without balancing with cautionary advice or alternative perspectives.

Semana logoSemanaIndependentCenterFactual 50Objective 603 days ago
Ideam warns of heavy rains in several regions of Colombia and high heat sensations in the Caribbean Coast

The Colombian Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology, and Environmental Studies (Ideam) has issued a weather warning predicting moderate to strong rainfall across much of the country, particularly in the Caribbean, Andean, Pacific, Orinoco, and Amazon regions. At the same time, several departments in the Caribbean coast will experience high temperatures and elevated heat sensation during the day. Max Henríquez, a hydrologist at Ideam, emphasized that this El Niño phenomenon will be stronger than any in the past 70 years. The forecast indicates that while some areas like parts of the Caribbean and central Andean regions may remain drier, other zones such as Antioquia, Santander, Risaralda, and others will see significant rainfall, especially during nighttime hours. In contrast, regions like Tolima and parts of Cundinamarca will maintain dry conditions. The report also mentions potential Saharan dust concentrations over the Caribbean Sea and light rain in areas like San Andrés, Providencia, and Santa Catalina.

Bias read (Center): The article presents a factual and balanced report on weather forecasts and climate patterns without overt ideological framing. It references scientific data from Ideam and provides objective regional breakdowns without taking sides or promoting specific political agendas. While the mention of El Ni

Why factuality (50): The article discusses weather conditions in Colombia and mentions El Niño but does not align with the primary source document’s focus on agricultural risk zones globally. It provides limited information on the broader impacts of El Niño beyond Colombia and lacks specific data from the FAO report. Th

Why objectivity (60): The tone remains neutral and informative, focusing on weather forecasts and local conditions. However, it does not address the broader implications of El Niño on food security and migration mentioned in the primary source, which could be seen as a slight lack of balance.

Semana logoSemanaIndependentCenterFactual 40Objective 559 days ago
Ideam forecast: rainfall increases in Colombia and heat persists in several regions

The Colombian Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology, and Environmental Studies (IDEAM) has issued a new forecast predicting increased cloud cover and rainfall across large parts of Colombia over the next 24 hours. However, high temperatures will continue in several regions. The report indicates that precipitation will mainly affect areas such as the Orinoquía, central and western Amazonia, northern Andean regions, northern and central Pacific regions, and southern Caribbean regions. In contrast, dry conditions with scattered clouds are expected in parts of the north and center of the Caribbean, central and southern Andean regions, western Pacific, and southern Amazonia. Light to moderate rain is anticipated in the south of Córdoba, Bolívar, and Sucre during the afternoon and night, while drier conditions will prevail in Cesar, Atlántico, Magdalena, and La Guajira. Moderate to heavy rains are expected in parts of Chocó and western Valle del Cauca, Cauca, and Nariño, along with the northern and central Pacific maritime platform. In the Andean region, light to partial cloud cover will dominate in the morning, but increased cloudiness in the afternoon and early evening will lead to rain,

Bias read (Center): The article provides a factual weather forecast from IDEAM without any apparent ideological framing, emphasis, or biased language. It focuses solely on meteorological data and does not engage with political issues, policies, or figures.

Why factuality (40): The article is incomplete and appears cut off mid-sentence. It mentions energy costs related to El Niño but lacks detailed alignment with the primary source document. There is no mention of agricultural risks, regional vulnerabilities, or the FAO’s role, making it less factual compared to the primar

Why objectivity (55): The tone suggests a potential bias toward economic concerns, particularly regarding energy tariffs, without addressing the broader agricultural and humanitarian impacts discussed in the primary source. This introduces a one-sided perspective.

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