Presidential election 2027: Mélenchon qualified against Le Pen, Philippe eliminated in all cases... After the riots, here's the Figaro poll

An exclusive survey by Ifop-Fiducial for Le Figaro, Sud Radio, and LCI suggests that the unrest on October 17 has strengthened Marine Le Pen's electoral base. The poll, conducted immediately after the events, indicates a potential surge in support for Le Pen, whose promise of a 'calm France' resonates amid the chaos. The study explores eight scenarios for the first round and five for the second round of the 2027 presidential election. Jean-Luc Mélenchon appears to be qualified to face Le Pen, while Emmanuel Macron's ally François Philippes seems eliminated in all cases. The findings highlight the impact of recent social disturbances on voter preferences.

French far-right leader Marine Le Pen has intensified her campaign for the 2027 presidential election, making multiple public appearances and media statements this October. Her efforts aim to establish credibility ahead of her party’s congress on October 24 and to shift focus away from recent controversies involving her ally, Jordan Bardella. On October 6, Le Pen presented her financial plan should she win the presidency, though the proposal faced criticism for inconsistencies. Two days later, she detailed her policies on child protection in Moissac, Tarn-et-Garonne. On October 14, she reiterated calls for reducing France’s EU contributions and pledged to cut aid to Ukraine after six months in the Élysée. A survey conducted by Ifop-Fiducial for Le Figaro, LCI, and Sud Radio following violent unrest on October 17 suggests that Le Pen's position as a candidate for a “calm France” resonates strongly with voters amid the chaos. The poll, carried out from Saturday evening to Monday, analyzed eight potential first-round candidates and five second-round scenarios. The findings indicate that Le Pen’s political strength appears to have grown since the disturbances, reinforcing her standing among supporters. The results were based on immediate post-event polling.

2 reports

La CroixParty-alignedCenterFactual 90Objective 755 days ago

Presidential election 2027: why Marine Le Pen is accelerating her campaign

In October, Marine Le Pen has been actively traveling and making numerous media appearances. Her goal is to establish her credibility, increase her influence before the party congress on Saturday, October 24, and shift attention away from the Bardella affair.

Bias read (Center): The article provides a neutral description of Le Pen's campaign activities without overtly favoring any side. It outlines her objectives but does not use biased language or selectively present information.

Why factuality (90): The article provides specific dates, locations, and events related to Marine Le Pen’s activities in October 2026, including her financial trajectory announcement, policy details on child protection, and EU funding comments. These claims align with the cross-source consensus of her active campaign ef

Why objectivity (75): The article presents information in a generally neutral manner but includes some framing that emphasizes Le Pen’s actions as an attempt to ‘prouver sa crédibilité’ and ‘faire oublier l’affaire Bardella,’ which may subtly imply she is trying to deflect attention rather than being transparent. The ton

Le FigaroIndependent🔒Center15 hr. ago

Presidential election 2027: Mélenchon qualified against Le Pen, Philippe eliminated in all cases... After the riots, here's the Figaro poll

Bias read (Center): The article presents survey results without overtly favoring any side. It reports on polling data and contextualizes it with the recent unrest, maintaining neutrality in framing the outcomes of the survey.

How each side covered it

The same event, grouped by the political lean of the outlets covering it.

How each side covered it

Support independent, bias-aware news and unlock the social pulse, community voting, and every other Supporter feature.

Become a Supporter

Covered around the world

The same event as reported in other countries.

Covered around the world

Support independent, bias-aware news and unlock the social pulse, community voting, and every other Supporter feature.

Become a Supporter

Claims check

Key factual claims, and how many sources assert vs dispute each.

Claims check

Support independent, bias-aware news and unlock the social pulse, community voting, and every other Supporter feature.

Become a Supporter

Keep the news honest.

ObjectiveNews is reader-funded and ad-free — we show you the bias instead of hiding it. Support independent journalism for €4/month.

Become a Supporter

Presidential election 2027: Mélenchon qualified against Le Pen, Philippe eliminated in all cases... After the riots, here's the Figaro poll

2 reports

How each side covered it

progressive

center

conservative

How each side covered it

Covered around the world

Covered around the world

Claims check

Claims check

Keep the news honest.

Related stories

Marine Le Pen and the end of aid to Ukraine: from fear of escalation to the budgetary argument

Protests in France, Spain, other European countries persist

Presidential 2027: first poll after 17 October gives Marine Le Pen a clear lead in the first round, ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Who and what is behind the violent mobilisations that are shaking France?

Books or Bombs? France’s Student Revolt vs. NATO’s Spending Push

Presidential 2027: a poll puts Raphaël Glucksmann on a par with Jean-Luc Mélenchon and Édouard Philippe after his victory in the primary