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Kospi whiplash calls to rein in rosy forecasts, margin trading
KR📈 Economy27 days ago

Kospi whiplash calls to rein in rosy forecasts, margin trading

South Korea's stock market experienced extreme volatility in July, prompting calls for regulatory action. The Kospi index surged 17.91% on Friday but had fallen 22.19% overall in July after a 101.14% increase in the first half of the year. Retail investors suffered significant losses due to sharp market swings and heavy reliance on margin trading. Industry insiders criticized brokerages for inflating expectations through overly optimistic forecasts for AI-related semiconductor stocks, which led to aggressive investing followed by steep losses when earnings fell short of projections. Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix both reported profits below some brokerages' forecasts, causing share prices to drop despite strong performance. Brokerage firms revised their target prices inconsistently, with some lowering them significantly after earnings reports.

South Korean stocks surged by a record 17.91 percent on Friday, with the Kospi index jumping 1,001.89 points to close at 6,595.45. This marked the largest single-day gain in the index's history, surpassing the previous record of 11.95 percent set in October 2008. The dramatic rise was driven primarily by a rebound in semiconductor stocks and substantial foreign investment inflows. Chipmakers such as Samsung Electronics and SK hynix saw their shares climb significantly, with Samsung Electronics finishing 26.81 percent higher and SK hynix hitting its daily upper limit with a 29.95 percent jump. The rally was supported by improved sentiment following strong earnings from U.S. tech firms like Microsoft and Amazon, which alleviated fears about slowing AI investment and the semiconductor cycle. The Kospi's ascent began slowly, opening just 1.15 percent higher at 5,657.79 before rapidly climbing by double digits. By midday, the index reached an intraday high of 6,630.77, up 18.5 percent. A buy-side sidecar mechanism was triggered at 9:06 a.m., temporarily halting program purchase orders for five minutes. Similar curbs were activated on the secondary Kosdaq market, which closed 11.63 percent higher at 719.76, marking its second-largest daily percentage gain. The rebound followed a period of intense volatility, with the Kospi having dropped nearly 13 percent on Wednesday and 11 percent on Tuesday, hitting multi-month lows. Foreign investors played a crucial role in the rally, purchasing a net 7.25 trillion won ($5.06 billion) on the Kospi, extending their buying streak to a second day after four consecutive sessions of net selling. Institutions initially started as net sellers but switched to net buyers by midday, ending the session with net purchases of 1.15 trillion won. In contrast, retail investors took profits, selling a net 8.26 trillion won. The surge in semiconductor stocks was particularly notable, with Samsung Electronics, SK hynix, and SK Square all reaching their daily upper limits. Other major stocks such as Samsung C&T, Samsung Life Insurance, and Hyundai Motor also saw significant gains. The won strengthened against the dollar, closing the daytime session 13.4 won stronger at 1,424 per dollar. This recovery came after the currency had weakened to 1,436.9 intraday earlier in the week. The improvement in the won's value reflected the broader confidence in the market and the expectation of a more stable economic environment. The recent volatility in the Kospi has sparked discussions about the need for regulatory reforms. Industry officials have called for tighter scrutiny of overly optimistic brokerage research and stricter margin-lending rules. They argue that inflated expectations and heavily leveraged trading have exacerbated retail investors' losses during sharp market swings. For instance, Samsung Electronics reported a second-quarter operating profit of 89.5 trillion won, slightly exceeding analysts' forecasts but falling short of some brokerages' projections of up to 100 trillion won. This discrepancy contributed to a temporary dip in the stock price. The impact of leveraged ETFs has also come under scrutiny. Single-stock leveraged exchange-traded funds, designed to provide twice the daily return of individual stocks, were launched at the height of the chip rally. These products have been criticized for amplifying market volatility, especially as the AI-driven boom began to wane. The rapid expansion of these funds, with daily trading values hovering around 10 trillion won, highlighted the speculative nature of retail investing in the sector. Market experts suggest that the simultaneous launch of 16 such funds at the peak of the rally worsened the situation by increasing the sensitivity of the market to fluctuations in key stocks. As the Kospi continues to fluctuate, regulators and market participants are closely monitoring the situation. The recent record gain on Friday provides a glimpse of potential recovery, but the underlying issues related to market structure and investor behavior remain unresolved. The path forward will likely involve a combination of regulatory adjustments, improved risk management practices, and a more balanced approach to market forecasting and investment strategies.

4 reports

The Korea Herald logoThe Korea HeraldIndependentCenterFactual 95Objective 9029 days ago
Kospi jumps 18% to post record daily gain

South Korean stocks experienced their largest single-day increase in history on Friday, with the Kospi index surging 17.91 percent, or 1,001.89 points, closing at 6,595.45. This dramatic rise was driven primarily by a surge in chip-related stocks and significant foreign investment inflows, totaling over 7 trillion won. The rally followed positive performance on U.S. markets, particularly in technology sectors, fueled by strong earnings reports from companies like Microsoft. Analysts attributed the move to reduced concerns about AI investment and the semiconductor industry, along with the belief that forced selling by investors had largely subsided. Chipmakers such as Samsung Electronics and SK hynix saw substantial gains, with some reaching their daily price limits.

Bias read (Center): The article focuses on economic developments related to stock market performance and does not involve political figures, policies, or contentious issues. The content is purely economic and lacks any political framing or bias.

Why factuality (95): The article accurately reports the Kospi's record daily gain of 17.91 percent on Friday, along with specific numbers and context about foreign investment and market reactions. These details match the cross-source consensus.

Why objectivity (90): The article is factual and balanced in its presentation, focusing on the market performance and external factors influencing it without injecting personal opinion or bias.

The Korea Herald logoThe Korea HeraldIndependentCenterFactual 95Objective 9029 days ago
Seoul shares surge record 18% to reclaim 6,500-point level on chip rally

South Korean stocks experienced a dramatic surge, with the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) jumping 17.91 percent to reach 6,595.45, marking the largest single-day gain in the index's history. This sharp rebound followed a three-day decline triggered by worries over AI infrastructure spending, which affected chipmakers and related sectors. The boost came after Microsoft's better-than-expected second-quarter earnings alleviated concerns about AI investment. Semiconductor companies led the rally, with major firms like Samsung Electronics and SK hynix seeing significant gains. Foreign investors and institutions were net buyers, while individual investors sold heavily. The government also raised the minimum cash deposit requirement for leveraged ETFs to stabilize the market.

Bias read (Center): The article presents a factual report on economic performance without overt ideological slant. It focuses on market movements, corporate earnings, and government regulatory actions, all of which are non-political in nature. The tone remains neutral, providing balanced information on both investor行为(

Why factuality (95): The article accurately describes the 18% surge in the KOSPI index, citing specific figures like 6,595.45 and referencing Microsoft's earnings as a catalyst. It aligns with the cross-source consensus on the magnitude of the rise and the reasons behind it.

Why objectivity (90): The article presents facts objectively, using neutral language and attributing statements to analysts without overt bias. It avoids emotional language and provides a balanced view of the market movements.

The Korea Herald logoThe Korea HeraldIndependentCenterFactual 95Objective 907/30/2026
Won hits five-month high as Kospi remains volatile

The South Korean won reached its strongest level in about five months, hitting the 1,430 range, despite volatility in the Kospi stock index. The Kospi experienced significant fluctuations, opening higher but ultimately closing lower after a sharp decline in the previous two sessions. This volatility was partly driven by the unwinding of leveraged positions and losses in semiconductor-related stocks. Samsung Electronics reported record second-quarter earnings, which initially boosted investor sentiment but failed to sustain gains. Analysts attributed the won's strength to improved domestic economic conditions and expectations of a narrowing U.S.-South Korea interest rate gap.

Bias read (Center): The article focuses on economic indicators such as currency exchange rates and stock market performance, providing factual data and analyst commentary without overtly favoring any political stance or ideology. There is no mention of political figures, policies, or partisan issues.

Why factuality (95): The article provides precise details about the won's strength and the Kospi's volatility, including specific exchange rates and market indices. These facts are consistent with the overall picture presented in other articles.

Why objectivity (90): The article remains objective in its reporting, discussing the won's performance and market volatility without favoring any particular perspective or using emotive language.

The Korea Herald logoThe Korea HeraldIndependentCenterFactual 85Objective 8027 days ago
Kospi whiplash calls to rein in rosy forecasts, margin trading

South Korea's stock market experienced extreme volatility in July, prompting calls for regulatory action. The Kospi index surged 17.91% on Friday but had fallen 22.19% overall in July after a 101.14% increase in the first half of the year. Retail investors suffered significant losses due to sharp market swings and heavy reliance on margin trading. Industry insiders criticized brokerages for inflating expectations through overly optimistic forecasts for AI-related semiconductor stocks, which led to aggressive investing followed by steep losses when earnings fell short of projections. Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix both reported profits below some brokerages' forecasts, causing share prices to drop despite strong performance. Brokerage firms revised their target prices inconsistently, with some lowering them significantly after earnings reports.

Bias read (Center): The article focuses on economic issues related to stock market volatility, margin trading, and brokerage forecasts. It presents factual data on market movements, retail investor behavior, and critiques of financial institutions without overtly favoring any particular political stance or ideology. No

Why factuality (85): This article discusses market volatility, regulatory responses, and investor behavior, citing specific figures and quotes. It aligns with the cross-source consensus on market swings and retail investor impacts. Information is presented clearly and factually.

Why objectivity (80): While the article presents facts, it emphasizes the consequences of aggressive betting and margin trading, which could be seen as slightly critical of retail investors. This subtle framing may influence reader perception.

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