Italy's population is projected to decrease by nearly 4 million by 2050 due to a rapidly aging society and low birth rates, according to projections from the national statistics bureau ISTAT. The population is expected to drop from 58.9 million in 2025 to 55 million by 2050 and further to 45.8 million by 2080. Births have remained near record lows, with annual births projected to fall to 335,000 by 2050. Meanwhile, deaths are expected to rise as the post-war baby boom generation ages, reaching a peak of 869,000 annually by 2058. The fertility rate remains below the replacement level, averaging 1.14 children per woman. The proportion of Italians aged 65 and older is predicted to increase to 34.5% by 2050, while the working-age population is expected to shrink. Southern Italy is anticipated to experience the most significant population decline, while immigration has helped stabilize the overall population. Without sustained migration, the labor market and public finances could face increased strain.
Bias read (Center): The article presents demographic projections based on statistical data from ISTAT without overt ideological framing. It discusses both the challenges posed by an aging population and the role of immigration in mitigating population decline, presenting these factors neutrally. While the issue of low





