Iran avoiding strikes on Israel over fear of Hezbollah's collapse, former intelligence officer says

Israeli military units have detailed the intricate process of dismantling extensive tunnel networks constructed by Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, revealing the complexity and danger involved in neutralizing these subterranean structures. According to Lt. Col. D, commander of the IDF’s S-2 special engineering platoon, the operation has evolved significantly since October 7, 2023, shifting focus from explosive disposal in the Gaza Strip to identifying, mapping, and destroying critical tunnels in southern Lebanon. These tunnels, described as “crazy” and “Iranian,” represent a major threat to Israeli security and have required specialized techniques to dismantle. Lt. Col. D recounted the discovery of a particularly large tunnel in the town of Majdal Zoun, southern Lebanon, which measured three meters in height and three and a half meters in width. This tunnel, unlike others previously encountered, offered a level of comfort and accessibility that raised concerns among the IDF. The entry point was not accessed through its original door, which could have been booby-trapped or damaged by prior air strikes. Instead, soldiers had to navigate through debris left by an Israeli Air Force strike conducted more than a year earlier, including steel fragments scattered across the tunnel floor. Once inside, the soldiers faced the challenge of removing multiple blast doors, each weighing between five to seven tons. Specialized engineering equipment was used to strip these doors away, allowing access deeper into the tunnel system. Despite the technical challenges, the operation was marked by moments of triumph, such as the successful identification of the Majdal Zoun tunnel, which led to a collective expression of relief and celebration among the soldiers involved. The operation extends beyond the physical destruction of tunnels. Soldiers must contend with hazardous environments within the tunnels, including remnants of human waste, spoiled food, and expired supplies. Such conditions pose serious health risks, necessitating protective gear such as face masks and white suits to prevent exposure to harmful substances. Additionally, an operational safety net has been established above ground, with a dedicated rescue team from the Yahalom unit prepared to extract soldiers in case of emergencies. The efforts to dismantle Hezbollah’s infrastructure in Lebanon are part of a broader strategy involving international cooperation. Recent developments indicate that the United States, Israel, and Lebanon are working together in designated areas of southern Lebanon, aiming to stabilize the region and reduce tensions. This collaboration includes the deployment of the Lebanese Army, which has shown increasing engagement in countering Hezbollah activities. Retired military officer Lt.-Col. Or Horowitz noted a significant decline in Hezbollah’s strength, attributing it to internal weaknesses and external pressures, including the growing influence of the Lebanese Army supported by U.S. involvement. Horowitz emphasized that Iran’s reluctance to engage directly with Israel might stem from fears of Hezbollah’s potential collapse should hostilities resume. He suggested that Iran recognizes the precarious position of Hezbollah, which has suffered substantial losses and is increasingly isolated. This perception influences Iran’s strategic decisions regarding its involvement in regional conflicts, highlighting the delicate balance of power dynamics in the area. As the situation unfolds, the IDF continues to refine its tactics for dealing with underground threats, integrating advanced technology and international support to ensure operational effectiveness. The ongoing operations reflect a multifaceted approach to securing Israel’s borders and addressing the evolving nature of asymmetric warfare in the region.