The unusual days in Casa Rosada, Karina's new phase, and the governor flirting with LLA.

In a recent survey conducted by DC Consultores across Buenos Aires, residents showed a preference for continuity under Mayor Jorge Macri over a change of direction, with 51.7% supporting the former compared to 48.3% favoring a shift. The poll, which surveyed 1,360 individuals between July 19 and 22, revealed a narrowing gap from June's results. Notably, Daniel Hadad emerged as the perceived strongest challenge to Macri in the upcoming 2027 elections, with 44.8% of respondents believing he could defeat him, surpassing even Leandro Santoro, who received 37.9% in the same survey. Political alignment among voters shows that La Libertad Avanza holds the highest support at 30.1%, followed by the PRO at 26.7%, while 23.4% opt for an independent center-right alternative outside these two parties. Eight out of ten Buenos Aires residents identify themselves as non-Peronist, distributed among multiple political options rather than a single brand. This fragmentation has led to a more complex political landscape within the city. Macri’s public image has shifted slightly, moving from being 23.6 points ahead in June to a technical tie in July, with 50.1% positive evaluation against 49.9% negative. When asked what they would expect from the mayor, 39.9% prioritized planning and executing large-scale projects to revive the local economy, while the option of strict order and zero tolerance was the least preferred, receiving only 16.7%. In terms of governance slogans, “experience, security, and planning” garnered 53.5% of votes, contrasting sharply with just 14.4% for “toughness, courage, zero tolerance.” Fiscal policies remain a contentious issue, with only 21.4% of respondents demanding immediate tax cuts, whereas 46.5% called for a gradual approach and 32.1% favored a slow, structured reduction. Evaluations of the current government’s performance show that 35.4% believe the administration is effective and showing progress, while 32.2% view it as neither continuing nor changing direction, 22.8% see stagnation under the PRO, and 9.6% point to slow implementation despite good intentions. Emotionally, only 27.9% of residents associate their daily life with relief or hope, while the rest are split between disappointment (34.3%), frustration (24.1%), and uncertainty (13.7%). In internal party politics, Patricia Bullrich leads with 40.6% support for a potential candidate, followed by Macri at 15.7%, and Victoria Villarruel at 29.5%. Bullrich excels in the attribute of “courage,” with 60.1% approval, while Macri maintains strength in “management capability” at 31.9%. Outside traditional political frameworks, Daniel Hadad is gaining traction as a potential threat to Macri’s re-election bid. His growing influence reflects a broader trend of political realignment, with 73.3% of voters calling for stronger state involvement in social issues and free services, yet simultaneously demanding immediate tax relief for income and businesses. A majority of 50.1% believes a model combining reduced taxes with bureaucratic streamlining is viable without compromising essential services. Meanwhile, political movements are intensifying in preparation for upcoming elections. La Libertad Avanza and the PRO have begun strategic outreach efforts, with LLA’s leader, Pilar Ramírez, organizing visits involving national ministers such as Patricia Bullrich and Federico Sturzenegger. These moves aim to bolster political presence and potentially lead to coalition discussions. On the other hand, the PRO is focusing on maintaining its base through initiatives targeting vulnerable communities, including adults over 60, and reinforcing law enforcement operations in informal settlements. Despite these efforts, challenges persist within the administration, particularly in areas like infrastructure and public works. Projects such as the expansion of healthcare facilities and improved access to services have shown promise, but delays in key developments, such as the metro Line F and the prison in Marcos Paz, continue to draw criticism. As the political landscape evolves, the focus remains on consolidating support and addressing voter concerns ahead of the 2027 elections.