The article explains the development of El Niño, a climate phenomenon characterized by the interaction between the atmosphere and the ocean. It describes how during normal conditions, lower pressure and strong convection dominate over western Pacific regions like Indonesia and northern Australia, while higher pressure exists over eastern Pacific areas near South America. During El Niño, these patterns reverse, leading to warmer surface waters moving westward and weakened upwelling of cold deep water along the coast of South America. This results in changes to atmospheric circulation, wind patterns, and weather systems across the globe. The article notes that as of August 13, 2026, El Niño is intensifying, with a sea surface temperature anomaly of +1.4°C in the Niño-3.4 region. Based on data from NOAA, there is a 90% chance of a very strong El Niño event during autumn and winter 2026–27, and a 69% chance that the Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) will reach or exceed +2.5°C by November–December 2026. The article emphasizes that anomalies, deviations from average temperatures, are more significant than absolute values, as they indicate whether ocean temperatures are unusually warm or cool.
Bias read (Center): The article presents scientific information about El Niño and its potential impacts on Croatia and the Balkans without taking a political stance. While the topic relates to environmental and climatic factors that could influence regional politics, the content remains focused on explaining natural气象和





