Explained: Who really controls the Strait of Hormuz?

On July 18, 2026, a political cartoon published by The National depicted a tense scenario involving the Strait of Hormuz, highlighting concerns over control and security in the region. The illustration showed a narrow waterway flanked by two powerful nations, Iran and the United States, with a ship caught in the middle, symbolizing the precarious balance of power and the strategic importance of the strait. The Strait of Hormuz, located between the Persian Gulf and the Arabian Sea, serves as a critical maritime chokepoint through which approximately one-third of the world’s oil supply passes. This makes it a focal point of geopolitical interest, with both regional and global powers vying for influence. The cartoon underscores the ongoing tensions between Iran and Western countries, particularly the U.S., over access and security in the area. According to reports from multiple news outlets, the situation escalated in early July 2026, following a series of incidents involving Iranian naval vessels and American warships. On July 12, a near-collision occurred between an Iranian patrol boat and a U.S. destroyer off the coast of the strait, prompting heightened military activity from both sides. In response, the U.S. deployed additional naval assets to the region, including aircraft carriers and reconnaissance planes, to monitor Iranian movements. Meanwhile, Iran has been accused of conducting unauthorized operations within the territorial waters of the Gulf, raising alarms among neighboring states and international observers. A spokesperson for the Iranian navy stated that these actions were necessary to safeguard national sovereignty and ensure the free flow of goods through the strait. However, this stance was met with skepticism from some analysts who pointed to past patterns of provocative behavior by Iranian forces. The United Nations Security Council convened an emergency session on July 15, 2026, to discuss the escalating situation. While no formal sanctions were imposed, several members called for increased dialogue and transparency. The council expressed concern over the potential for miscalculation leading to conflict, emphasizing the need for de-escalation efforts. In addition to the direct confrontation between Iran and the U.S., other regional actors have also played a role in shaping the dynamics around the strait. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have maintained close ties with the U.S., supporting its presence in the region as a deterrent against Iranian aggression. Meanwhile, Qatar has advocated for a more diplomatic approach, urging both parties to engage in constructive negotiations rather than confrontational measures. The economic implications of the dispute have also drawn attention. With global energy markets already under pressure due to fluctuating prices and supply chain disruptions, any disruption to the flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz could have far-reaching consequences. Analysts warn that even a minor incident could trigger a spike in oil prices and lead to broader economic instability. As of July 18, 2026, the situation remains volatile, with both sides maintaining their positions. The U.S. continues to conduct regular patrols in the region, while Iran has announced plans to increase its naval presence along the southern approaches to the strait. Diplomatic channels remain open, though progress has been slow. International organizations continue to monitor the developments closely, awaiting further developments that could shape the future of regional stability.