A new poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center suggests that Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York is currently leading in the hypothetical 2028 Democratic presidential primary race in New Hampshire. According to the findings, Ocasio-Cortez received 22% of the vote among likely Democratic voters, narrowly surpassing former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, who secured 21%. This marks a significant increase in Ocasio-Cortez’s support, which rose by 7 points since February, while Buttigieg’s remained stable. Ocasio-Cortez, known for her progressive stance and energetic presence in Congress, has been considering whether to pursue the presidency or challenge Senate Minority Leader Charles E. Schumer for his New York seat. Despite her current lead, she has remained relatively quiet about her intentions, leaving speculation about her future political moves open. On the Republican side, Vice President J.D. Vance has seen a decline in support, dropping from 53% to 36% since February. Meanwhile, Secretary of State Marco Rubio has made a substantial gain, increasing his support from 9% to 26% during the same period. This shift positions Rubio as a formidable challenger to Vance, despite both men downplaying their interest in the 2028 race. The poll, which surveyed 1,458 New Hampshire residents between July 15 and 20, revealed that Ocasio-Cortez holds the highest favorability rating among the liberal candidates, with 64% of respondents viewing her positively. Other prominent Democratic contenders such as Senator Mark Kelly of Arizona, Governor Gavin Newsom of California, and Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont also maintained positive ratings, though none matched Ocasio-Cortez’s level of popularity. Despite her current lead in New Hampshire, former Vice President Kamala Harris faces challenges in gaining traction nationally. While she leads in name recognition, her actual support among likely Democratic voters has dropped significantly. In the latest poll, Harris received only 5%, a sharp decline from her previous standing. This indicates that while she remains a recognizable figure within the party, her appeal might not translate into strong electoral performance. Democratic insiders suggest that Kamala Harris might still hold a strategic advantage due to her demographic appeal, particularly among Black voters, who constitute a crucial segment of the party’s base. However, her recent drop in support raises questions about her viability as a presidential candidate in 2028. Other potential contenders, including Governor Gavin Newsom and Governor Josh Shapiro, face similar hurdles in building a broad coalition of support. The Republican primary landscape appears equally dynamic, with Marco Rubio emerging as a serious competitor to J.D. Vance. Although Vance maintains a slight edge in favorability ratings, Rubio’s rapid ascent could disrupt the existing dynamics of the race. His involvement in the Iran conflict and his focus on addressing fraudulent activities have contributed to his growing popularity, positioning him as a viable alternative to Vance. As the 2028 election cycle approaches, the political landscape continues to evolve, with key players adjusting their strategies based on shifting public sentiment and internal party dynamics. The role of New Hampshire in the primary calendar remains uncertain, given past changes in scheduling priorities. Nonetheless, the current trends indicate that both major parties are preparing for a competitive and unpredictable race ahead.
8 reports
The Washington TimesParty-alignedCenterFactual 85Objective 755 days agoA new poll from the University of New Hampshire Survey Center indicates that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) leads in hypothetical matchups for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination in New Hampshire, securing 22% of the vote among likely Democratic voters. She trails slightly behind former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, who received 21%. Ocasio-Cortez's support has increased significantly since February, while Buttigieg's remains stable. Other notable Democratic contenders include Sen. Mark Kelly (AZ), California Gov. Gavin Newsom, and Sen. Bernie Sanders (VT). On the Republican side, Vice President JD Vance has seen a decline in support, dropping from 53% to 36%, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has gained traction, rising to 26%. The poll highlights the early-stage dynamics of potential 2028 presidential campaigns.
Bias read (Center): The article presents polling data on hypothetical 2028 presidential candidates without overtly favoring any particular ideological stance. It reports results objectively, citing specific percentages and noting shifts in candidate popularity without editorializing or using biased language.
Why factuality (85): This article provides detailed results from a poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center, which is a credible source. The data presented is consistent with the second article and includes specific percentages and trends over time. The information is factual and accurately report
Why objectivity (75): While the article presents the poll results objectively, it includes some commentary that may lean slightly toward a progressive perspective, such as noting the decline in support for Kamala Harris and the label 'Democratic socialist' for AOC. However, overall, the reporting remains relatively neutr
The Daily WireIndependentCenterFactual 85Objective 705 days agoA new Granite State Poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center indicates a significant shift in both the Democratic and Republican fields for the 2028 U.S. presidential election. In the Democratic primary, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads with 22% support, narrowly ahead of former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg at 21%. Support for other Democrats like California Gov. Gavin Newsom and former Vice President Kamala Harris has dropped substantially. On the Republican side, Vice President JD Vance's support has fallen from 53% in February to 36%, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio's support has risen sharply to 26%. Other candidates such as Sen. Rand Paul and former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley are trailing. The poll highlights growing interest in candidates aligned with former President Donald Trump, with over 40% of Republican voters indicating his endorsement would significantly influence their decision.
Bias read (Center): The article presents the poll results without overtly endorsing any particular candidate or ideology. It provides balanced reporting on both parties' shifts, highlighting changes in support levels without taking a clear ideological stance. While the article discusses political trends, it does not sl
Why factuality (85): This article cites the same University of New Hampshire Survey Center poll as the previous article, providing consistent data on both Democratic and Republican candidate support. The article includes specific numbers and trends, making it reliable. The mention of the poll's date and methodology adds
Why objectivity (70): The article maintains a generally neutral tone but includes some phrasing that may suggest a slight preference for certain candidates, such as referring to AOC as a 'Democratic socialist' and noting the decline in support for Kamala Harris. These descriptors can influence reader perception, though t
RealClearPoliticsIndependentCenterFactual 70Objective 505 days agoThe article discusses former Vice President Kamala Harris's current standing in polls, noting that while she leads in terms of name recognition, there is skepticism among potential voters regarding her viability in the 2028 election. The piece suggests that Democratic Party members are aware of these challenges but are hesitant to openly acknowledge them.
Bias read (Center): The article presents information without overtly favoring any side, merely stating that Democrats are aware of Kamala Harris's challenges in the 2028 election but are reluctant to discuss them openly. There is no clear ideological slant in the wording or emphasis.
Why factuality (70): This article states that Kamala Harris leads in name recognition but faces skepticism from voters who would actually elect her. This aligns with cross-source reporting that highlights voter sentiment toward her re-election prospects. However, the article does not provide direct evidence of voter rel
Why objectivity (50): While less overtly partisan than the first article, it still frames the situation as a challenge to Harris’s viability without offering a balanced perspective on why she might still be a strong contender. The focus on 'people who'd actually have to elect her' introduces a subjective interpretation o
RealClearPoliticsIndependentCenterFactual 65Objective 456 days ago Why Dems Can't Do Better Than Kamala Harris in 2028The article discusses the current state of the Democratic Party's presidential nomination race for 2028, suggesting that Kamala Harris has effectively secured her position within the party, leaving limited alternatives for potential candidates. It implies that Harris's influence and standing make it difficult for other Democrats to challenge her for the nomination. The piece frames this situation as a strategic challenge for the party moving forward.
Bias read (Center): The article presents a neutral observation about the current dynamics within the Democratic Party without overtly favoring any side. It does not employ loaded language or biased sourcing, merely stating the perceived limitations for other candidates due to Kamala Harris's position.
Why factuality (65): The article suggests that Kamala Harris has effectively blocked herself from being a viable candidate for the 2028 Democratic nomination, based on current polling and political analysis. While this aligns with some cross-source consensus that internal party dynamics may limit her viability, the clai
Why objectivity (45): The tone is clearly partisan, favoring the idea that Democrats are constrained by Harris’s candidacy rather than presenting an objective assessment of her potential. The language implies a predetermined outcome and lacks neutrality, making it highly biased.
AxiosIndependentProgressive6 hr. agoAxios reports on current insights from Democratic insiders regarding potential candidates for the 2028 Democratic nomination. Kamala Harris is considered the leading contender, particularly among Black voters, and is seen as well-prepared for a national campaign. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) is noted as a strong candidate due to her alignment with progressive values and potential fundraising ability. Gavin Newsom is highlighted for his political skills and experience countering former President Trump. Additionally, there is speculation about a centrist candidate, with names like Josh Shapiro and Mark Kelly being mentioned, though this group is viewed as an establishment preference. The article discusses the strategic implications of early primary states like South Carolina.
Bias read (Progressive): The article emphasizes progressive figures such as Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, portraying them as central to the party's future. It highlights their strengths within the party's base and suggests they align with current trends in Democratic politics. The focus on progressive policies
Breitbart NewsIndependentProgressive4 days agoA recent poll of 648 Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire shows Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) leading with 22% support, followed by former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg with 21%. Other candidates like Sen. Mark Kelly (D-AZ), failed Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA), and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) trail significantly. The poll indicates a decline in support for Kamala Harris (from 11% to 5%) and Gavin Newsom (from 15% to 8%), while AOC's support has risen from 14% to 22% since October 2025. The article notes that New Hampshire's role in the 2028 Democratic primary remains uncertain, with potential demotion due to changes in the primary calendar. Nationally, Kamala Harris leads in the RealClearPolitics poll of polls with 27.9%, ahead of Newsom at 16.6%. The piece argues that Democrats may prioritize Kamala Harris due to her demographic appeal, particularly to Black voters.
Bias read (Progressive): The article frames Kamala Harris as a 'useful idiot' and emphasizes her demographic appeal, suggesting a left-leaning preference. It criticizes Gavin Newsom's declining support and implies that Democrats are focused on identity politics, aligning with progressive values. The tone suggests a leftward
The HillIndependentCenter4 days agoA recent poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire, known as the Granite State Poll, indicates that Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) is currently leading in hypothetical support among New Hampshire voters for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. She received 22 percent of the responses, followed closely by former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg with 21 percent. The poll explores potential candidates who might run in the future, though it does not reflect current political campaigns or official endorsements. This data provides insight into early perceptions of Democratic leadership within the state, which is often seen as a bellwether for national elections.
Bias read (Center): The article presents polling data without overtly favoring any candidate or perspective. It reports figures objectively and does not include commentary or framing that would suggest a particular ideological leaning. The content remains focused on presenting the results of a survey without editorial
The Washington TimesParty-alignedCenter4 days ago Kamala Harris falls to back of the pack in new presidential pollA new Emerson College poll conducted in July 2026 suggests that former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg is leading in the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination race, surpassing both California Governor Gavin Newsom and former Vice President Kamala Harris. Buttigieg received 19% support, followed by Newsom at 17% and Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff and New York Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez tied at 13%. Kamala Harris secured only 8% in the poll, indicating a decline in her standing among potential Democratic candidates. On the Republican side, Secretary of State Marco Rubio trails Vice President J.D. Vance by just 1 percentage point, showing significant movement in favor of Rubio. This early hypothetical survey highlights shifting dynamics within both major parties ahead of the 2028 election cycle.
Bias read (Center): The article presents the poll results without overtly endorsing any candidate or party. It reports on the shifting standings of multiple candidates on both sides of the aisle without taking a clear ideological stance. While the article notes the dramatic shift in Republican polling favoring Rubio,它中
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