Moslems, Aufständische, Jugendliche: Wenn Le Pen gewählt wird, wollen sie Frankreich verlassen, so unsere exklusive Umfrage

A new survey by Ifop reveals widespread disillusionment among French citizens with political parties, despite their continued attachment to republican values. According to the study, many doubt the ability of political parties or elected officials to defend these principles effectively. The president of the Robert-de-Sorbon Foundation, who initiated the survey, discusses the findings. The survey, conducted for Marianne, explores how different segments of the French population might react if Marine Le Pen were to win the upcoming presidential election. It highlights deep concerns over potential impacts on daily life under her leadership. The results suggest that a significant portion of the population fears instability and threats to national cohesion should she become president. According to the survey, 21 percent of French citizens consider leaving the country if Le Pen wins the presidency. Nearly half of Muslim French citizens (46 percent) and almost half of Jewish citizens (44 percent) indicate they might relocate abroad. François Kraus, director of the Politics/Current Affairs division at Ifop, notes that while these figures are notable, they may be more linked to the instability caused by a National Rally victory than directly to Le Pen’s policies. Jean-Luc Mélenchon remains the primary threat to secularism according to the survey, with 43 percent of respondents citing him as such, compared to 35 percent for Le Pen. Additionally, 40 percent of Generation Z members (aged 14–29) consider moving abroad as a possibility. Two-thirds of French citizens fear increased aggression and discrimination against religious practitioners, with 80 percent of Muslims expressing this concern. This has led 27 percent of Muslims to want to limit visible religious symbols in public spaces, such as the hijab. Beyond religious concerns, the survey indicates significant social unrest could arise. Over one-third of French citizens (41 percent) view civil disobedience as a legitimate action. Seventy-five percent of Mélenchon supporters would refuse to obey laws deemed unjust, and 45 percent of public sector employees share this stance. With existing social tensions and rising energy prices, 38 percent of French citizens would consider participating in a general strike called by unions if Le Pen were elected.